New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 7/11/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 3, 2026; Brooklyn, New York, USA; New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) shoots the ball while defended by Minnesota Lynx guard Courtney Williams (10) during the first half at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: John Jones-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Liberty
Minnesota Lynx
Team Records
13-9
16-6
Where
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
When
Saturday, July 11, 2026
Time
01:00 PM EDT
TV
ABC
The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx meet Saturday in WNBA action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.
Matchup History
The New York Liberty won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 3rd, 2026, by a final score of 99-86, making it back-to-back wins for the Liberty in this head-to-head matchup.
New York Liberty Recap
The New York Liberty come into this game looking to bounce back from an 88-77 loss at the hands of the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 14-9 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Tempo.
Liberty Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Breanna Stewart has 20.5 PPG along with 8.5 RPG and 2.8 APG while Jonquel Jones has 15.2 PPG with 9.1 RPG and Pauline Astier has 10 PPG with 3 RPG and 3.8 APG. Satou Sabally has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Sabrina Ionescu has 10.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 3.8 APG and Leonie Fiebich has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.
Minnesota Lynx Recap
The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to add on to their 86-80 win over Connecticut last time out to sit at 16-6 this season. After this game, the Lynx will take on the Phoenix Mercury in a matchup at home.
Lynx Snap Two-Game Slide
Kayla McBride has 15.8 PPG along with 3.8 RPG while Olivia Miles has 18.5 PPG with 4.8 RPG and a team-high 5.7 APG to lead the Lynx in assists. Courtney Williams has 16 PPG with 5.4 RPG and 4.2 APG. Natasha Howard has 17 PPG with 8 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota so far this season.
New York Liberty @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: July 11, 2026
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
The Liberty have lost each of their last seven games at Target Center following a home loss.
The Lynx have won nine of their last 10 day games at Target Center.
The Lynx have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight day games against Western Conference opponents.
Why the New York Liberty will win
The underdogs have won six of the Liberty’s last seven games.
The Lynx have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Liberty’s last eight games.
The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Seven of the Lynx’s last eight day games at Target Center following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Eight of the Liberty’s last 10 road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
Olivia Miles has recorded 10+ points and 5+ assists in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Nia Coffey has recorded seven games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 219 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Breanna Stewart is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 7+ blocks in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.3).
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.7%).
The New York Liberty rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.2).
The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.0).
New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction
I’m on the Liberty and the points here. It looks like the injury report has started to level out for Minnesota which is good news for the Lynx going forward, but we’re getting up and over a possession with a Liberty team that continues to be one of the more talented teams in the WNBA. Now admittedly, the Liberty are still quite banged up, but I still think the Liberty have more than enough going for them here to be able to get the job done from a cover perspective if they don’t win the game outright. Give me the Liberty and the points.
