New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 8, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) brings the ball up court against the Chicago Sky during the first half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Liberty
Indiana Fever
Team Records
20-13
20-12
Spread
+2.5 -112
-2.5 -108
Moneyline
+120
-142
Total
Over 192.5 (-108)
Under 192.5 (-112)
Where
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
When
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Time
07:30 PM EDT
TV
ESPN
The New York Liberty and the Indiana Fever meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever prediction.
Matchup History
The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 18th, 2026, by a final score of 108-88, snapping New York’s three-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
New York Liberty Recap
The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 111-71 win over the Las Vegas Aces last time out to improve to 21-13 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head home for a game against the Los Angeles Sparks.
Liberty Win 4 Straight
Breanna Stewart has 21.3 PPG along with 8.6 RPG and 3 APG while Jonquel Jones has 14.4 PPG with 9 RPG. Satou Sabally has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Sabrina Ionescu has 16.2 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.6 APG and Leonie Fiebich has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season. Pauline Astier also has 9.7 PPG with 2.5 RPG and 3.5 APG.
Indiana Fever Recap
The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to add on to their 90-86 win over Chicago last time out to sit at 20-12 this season. After this game, the Fever will take on the Dallas Wings at home.
Fever Win 6 Of Last 8
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 23.5 PPG along with 2.7 APG while Caitlin Clark has 21.5 PPG with 3.8 RPG and a team-high 7.9 APG to lead the Fever in assists. Aliyah Boston also has 17.1 PPG with 8.2 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fever so far this season. Sophie Cunningham has 9.4 PPG with 2.4 RPG and Monique Billings also has 7.2 PPG with 5.5 RPG this season.
New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever Betting Trends: August 11, 2026
Why the Indiana Fever will win
The favorites have won each of the Liberty’s last eight games.
The Liberty have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against Fever teams that held a winning record.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between the Fever and Liberty.
Why the New York Liberty will win
The Liberty have won seven of their last eight night games against the Fever.
The Fever have lost 11 of their last 16 games as home favorites following a road win.
The Fever have failed to cover the spread in 17 of their last 18 games as home favorites following a road win.
The Liberty have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Fever.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Liberty’s last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Eight of the Fever’s last nine games against the Liberty following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.9%) this season.
Kelsey Mitchell has scored 20+ points in 16 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 230 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Breanna Stewart has made 3+ free throws in 10 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (95.9).
The Indiana Fever rank 14th for turnovers per game this season (15.4).
The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.1).
The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (85.3%).
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever Prediction
I’m on the Fever here. I think it’s easy to see the Liberty’s 40-point win over Las Vegas is easy to overreact to, but Las Vegas was resting a ton of their top players in that game and the Liberty have still had issues covering against higher-end teams in the WNBA this season. The Fever are at home and playing well for hte most part and I think in a potential playoff preview, the Fever get it done here. Give me Indiana.
