New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings Prediction 7/16/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 11, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) looks for a pass as Minnesota Lynx forward Nia Coffey (12) defends her in the first quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Liberty
Dallas Wings
Team Records
13-11
16-8
Spread
+1.5 100
-1.5 -120
Moneyline
+114
-135
Total
Over 176.5 (-115)
Under 176.5 (-105)
Where
College Park Center, Arlington, TX
When
Thursday, July 16, 2026
Time
09:00 PM EDT
TV
Prime Video
The New York Liberty and the Dallas Wings meet Thursday in WNBA action from the College Park Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings prediction.
Matchup History
The Dallas Wings won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 7th, 2026, by a final score of 88-77, making it back-to-back wins for the Wings in this head-to-head matchup.
New York Liberty Recap
The New York Liberty come into this game looking to bounce back from a 93-91 loss at the hands of the Toronto Tempo last time out to sit at 14-11 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road for a game against the Indiana Fever.
Liberty Lose 3 In A Row
Breanna Stewart has 20.5 PPG along with 8.5 RPG and 2.8 APG while Jonquel Jones has 15.2 PPG with 9.1 RPG and Pauline Astier has 10 PPG with 3 RPG and 3.8 APG. Satou Sabally has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Sabrina Ionescu has 10.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 3.8 APG and Leonie Fiebich has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.
Dallas Wings Recap
The Dallas Wings come into this game looking to add on to their 96-91 win over the Chicago Sky last time out to sit at 16-8 this season. After this game, the Wings will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in a matchup at home.
Wings Win 5 In A Row
Arike Ogunbowale has 13.3 PPG along with 2.8 APG while Paige Bueckers has 20.2 PPG along with 3.9 RPG and 6 APG. Jessica Shepard’s added 14.2 PPG with 11.4 RPG and 5 APG to lead the Wings in rebounding and assists while Azzi Fudd’s chipped in 13.3 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for the Wings so far this season.
New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings Betting Trends: July 16, 2026
Why the Dallas Wings will win
The Wings have won each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Liberty have lost each of their last four road games.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 16 of their last 18 games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
The Wings have covered the spread in five of their last six night games at College Park Center.
Why the New York Liberty will win
The Liberty have won seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
The Wings have lost six of their last seven home games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
The Wings have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last five night games following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
Each of the last four games between the Wings and Liberty have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Liberty’s last six Thursday road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
Jessica Shepard is the only player to have recorded a 20+ point triple-double this season.
Paige Bueckers has recorded 4+ assists in 12 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 221 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Jonquel Jones has recorded 10+ rebounds in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Wings rank 1st for opponent steals per game this season (5.4).
The Dallas Wings rank 1st for turnovers per game this season (11.5).
The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (85.6%).
The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (72.8%).
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings Prediction
I’m on the Liberty and the points here. I just trust the Liberty more in a spot like this even though the Wings are the much hotter team at this point, because the Liberty are an expericened team that’s in a big revenge spot having not beaten the Wings yet this season. I think the Liberty’s recent struggles have given us some line value here so give me the Liberty and the free bucket.
