New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction 10/7/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Oct 4, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu (20) reacts after a basket against the Atlanta Dream in the third quarter during game one of the second round for the 2026 WNBA Playoffs at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream
Team Records
26-18
30-14
Spread
+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
Moneyline
+105
-125
Total
Over 170.5 (-110)
Under 170.5 (-110)
Where
Gateway Center, College Park, GA
When
Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Time
07:30 PM EDT
TV
ESPN
The New York Liberty and the Atlanta Dream meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Gateway Center Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream prediction.
Series Recap
The Atlanta Dream drew first blood in the series with a 92-82 win over the Liberty in game one thanks to a team-high 25 points from Jordin Canada, shooting 9 of 14 with 4 threes while DeWanna Bonner added 23 points off of the bench with 9 rebounds. Angel Reese chipped in 17 points and Rhyne Howard added 15 points with 8 assists. New York saw Sabrina Ionescu put up a team-high 27 points on 10 of 20 shooting with 3 triples while Breanna Stewart chipped in 19 points and Jonquel Jones added 12 points with 11 rebounds for a double-double in the loss.
Liberty Trying To Even Up Set
Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring with 20.4 PPG along with 8.1 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Four more Liberty players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Sabrina Ionescu who has 15.1 PPG with 4.0 RPG and 4.7 APG, Jonquel Jones with 14.6 PPG and a team-high 9.0 RPG on the glass, Satou Sabally with 10.4 PPG and 2.8 RPG, and Leonie Fiebich who adds 10.2 PPG with 3.0 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for New York. Pauline Astier also has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 3.4 APG to lead the Liberty in assists up to this point in the year.
Dream Trying To Jump Out To 2-0 Lead
Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 19.3 PPG while Rhyne Howard has added 18.3 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 3.6 APG. Three more Dream players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Angel Reese who has 16.1 PPG and a team-high 12.4 RPG, and Jordin Canada who has 11.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and a team-high 7.4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta so far this season. Naz Hillmon also has 9.1 PPG with 4.6 RPG as well for the Dream up to this point in the year.
New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream Betting Trends: October 7, 2026
Why the Atlanta Dream will win
The Dream have won each of their last eight games.
The Liberty have lost five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last eight games.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 16 of their last 18 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the New York Liberty will win
The Liberty have won eight of their last nine night games following a road loss.
The Dream have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at State Farm Arena following a home win.
The Liberty have covered the spread in three of their last four road games.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Dream’s last six playoff games at State Farm Arena have gone OVER the total points line.
Seven of the Liberty’s last eight Semi-Finals games have gone OVER the total points line.
Atlanta Dream Player Facts
Angel Reese ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (12.1) this season.
Jordin Canada is the only player in the league to have recorded 7+ steals in a game this season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 243 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Breanna Stewart has made 3+ free throws in 11 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for offensive rebounds per game this season (10.6).
The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (6.3).
The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.1).
The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (84.5%).
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. The Liberty have been an over team on the road all season long and I don’t expect that to change here. Both teams can shoot and while playoff basketball lends itself to a lower-scoring style of play, I think this is still a high-scoring series so give me the over.
