Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings Prediction 5/16/25 WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx are visiting the Dallas Wings on Friday, May 16th at the College Park Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings Prediction. We will examine:

The Dallas Wings recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Lynx recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Dallas Wings

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Lynx

Recent betting trends in games played between the Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings game

Dallas Wings Preview

The Wings finished last season with a 9-31 record, which was the second-worst in the whole WNBA. They had a 7-1 home record, and were 13-27 against the spread, and 25-14-1 in over/under. Dallas averaged 84.2 points per game last season, which was the third-best in the league, while they allowed 92.1 points per game, which was by far the worst in the league. Dallas was shooting with 44.5% from the field, 32.6% from beyond the arc, and 78.5 from the free-throw line, while grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.

Dallas was 1-1 in the preseason, and are coming off a 119-52 home victory over the Toyota Antilopes. They shot with 66.7% from the field and 53.8% from beyond the arc, and were led in scoring by Arike Ogunbowale with 17 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.

Arike Ogunbowale led the Wings in scoring last season with 22.2 points per game, adding 4.6 rebounds and a team-high 5.1 assists. Satou Sabaly followed with 17.9 points per game, adding 6.4 rebounds and 5 assists per game.

Minnesota Lynx Preview

The Lynx finished last season with a 37-15 record, and were placed first in the Western Conference. They made it all the way to the WNBA Finals, where the lost by the New York Liberty by 2-3 wins. The Lynx had a 16-4 home record and were 33-18-1 against the spread, and 22-28-2 in over/under. Minnesota averaged 82 points per game last season, which was the 5th-best in the league, while they allowed 75.6 points per game, which was the second-best. Minnesota was shooting with 44.7% from the field, 38% from beyond the arc, and with 79 from the free-throw line, while grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game.

Minnesota was 1-1 in the preseason, and are coming off a 92-87 home victory over the Chicago Sky. Napheesa Collier led the Lynx both in scoring last season with 20.4 points per game, and in rebounding with 9.7, while adding 3.4 assists per game. Kayla McBride followed with 15 points per game, adding 3.2 assists per game.

Why the Dallas Wings will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Wings and Lynx at College Park Center.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Wings and Lynx at College Park Center.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Wings and Lynx.
• The Wings have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against the Lynx.
• The home team has won each of the last four games between the Wings and Lynx.
• The Wings have won three of their last four season openers.
• The Wings have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home openers.
• The Lynx have lost three of their last four season openers.

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Wings have lost each of their last nine games.
• The Wings have lost each of their last five home games.
• The Wings have lost each of their last six games as underdogs.
• The favorites have won four of the Wings’ last five games.
• The Lynx have won six of their last seven road openers as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Wings and Lynx have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eleven of the Wings’ last 13 home openers have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Wings’ last five home openers as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six games between the Wings and Lynx at College Park Center have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Lynx’s last eight season openers have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings Prediction

The Lynx are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Wings, but the Wings are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Dallas, and are 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 meetings. Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 overall meetings, and 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Dallas.  

In this Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings Prediction, the Lynx are coming as -5.5 road favorites. The Lynx are rightfully favored, as they have been the WNBA finalists of last season, facing the team that had the second-worst record. But I’m not willing to lay so many points on a road favorite in the opening day. Dallas won the lottery and got the first draft pick in Paige Bueckers and are much stronger than last season, when they had won both home games against the Lynx anyway. The value here is with the home dog, so take the Dallas Wings by +5.5 points in this one.