Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 9/9/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Los Angeles Sparks and the Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 26th, 2025, by a final score of 92-84, making it seven straight wins for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.

Los Angeles Sparks Recap

The Los Angeles Sparks come into this game looking to add on to their 91-77 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 20-22 this season. After this game, the Sparks will head home for their regular season finale against the Las Vegas Aces.

Sparks In Must-Win Scenario

Kelsey Plum leads the Sparks in scoring and assists with 20.1 PPG along with 5.8 APG and 1.2 SPG while Dearica Hamby has 17.9 PPG with 7.9 RPG and 3.2 APG. Azura Stevens has chipped in 13.8 PPG with 7.8 RPG to lead the Sparks on the glass and Rickea Jackson has 14.7 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Sparks up to this point in the year. As a team, Los Angeles is averaging 85.9 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 35.1% from three-point range and 76.6% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to rebound from an 87-84 loss at the hands of the Connecticut Sun last time out to sit at 27-15 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Dallas Wings to close out the regular season.

Mercury Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 16.6 PPG along with 6.1 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.8 PPG with 8.9 RPG and 9.2 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.3 PPG. DeWanna Bonner has 11.2 PPG in 20 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.6 APG while Lexi Held’s added 5.7 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 8 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.1 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three-point range and 78.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: September 9, 2025

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Mercury have won each of their last seven games against the Sparks.
• The Sparks have lost eight of their last nine games at PHX Arena.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Sparks teams that held a losing record.
• The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games.

Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win

• The Sparks have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Sparks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Mercury teams that held a winning record.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mercury’s last seven night games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Sparks’ last four games against the Mercury following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.2) this season.
• Kahleah Copper ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.1) this season.

Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts

• Dearica Hamby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (57.6%) this season.
• Rickea Jackson has hit at least 1 three-pointer in 15 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for bench points per game (24.9) this season.
• Phoenix Mercury scored 36 unanswered points against Indiana Fever on August 7 – team’s equal-biggest scoring run of the season.
• The Los Angeles Sparks rank 12th for opponent points per game this season (88.0).
• The Los Angeles Sparks rank 12th for opponent assists per game this season (22.4).

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Sparks and the points here. I get the case to be made for the Mercury being favored at home here, but the Sparks are in must-win mode with them having to win out to have a shot at making the playoffs. The Mercury are trying to hold down home court in the first round, but I think whichever way this game goes, it’s going to be competitive and close. Give me the Sparks and the points here.