Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 8/6/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 15, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Los Angeles Sparks forward Nneka Ogwumike (3) is defended by Minnesota Lynx forward Nia Coffey (12) during the fourth quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Los Angeles Sparks
Minnesota Lynx
Team Records
11-18
25-6
Spread
+15.5 -110
-15.5 -110
Moneyline
+850
-1450
Total
Over 188.5 (-110)
Under 188.5 (-110)
Where
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
When
Thursday, August 6, 2026
Time
09:00 PM EDT
TV
Prime Video
The Los Angeles Sparks and the Minnesota Lynx meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.
Matchup History
The Minnesota Lynx won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 96-87 back on July 15th, 2026, making it six straight wins for the Lynx in this head-to-head matchup.
Los Angeles Sparks Recap
The Los Angeles Sparks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 95-88 loss at the hands of the Chicago Sky last time out to sit at 11-18 this season. After this game, the Sparks will head home for a game against the Golden State Valkyries.
Sparks Lose 7 Of Last 8
Nneka Ogwumike has 17.3 PPG with 8.9 RPG. Dearica Hamby’s added 14.6 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 2.3 APG while Rae Burrell’s added 12.9 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Los Angeles so far this season. Cameron Brink has 9.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG and Ariel Atkins also has 8.9 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.6 APG. Erica Wheeler also has 8.8 PPG with a team-high 5 APG to lead the Sparks in assists.
Minnesota Lynx Recap
The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to add on to their 108-100 win over the Indiana Fever last time out to sit at 25-6 this season. After this game, the Lynx will take on the Las Vegas Aces in a marquee matchup at home.
Lynx Continue Torrid Win Streak
Kayla McBride has 16.2 PPG along with 3.8 RPG while Olivia Miles has 18.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG and a team-high 5.6 APG to lead the Lynx in assists. Courtney Williams has 15.8 PPG with 5.7 RPG and 4.1 APG. Natasha Howard has 16.9 PPG with 8.1 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota so far this season.
Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: August 6, 2026
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
The Lynx have won each of their last 17 games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Sparks have lost each of their last eight games following a road loss.
The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games following a road loss.
The Lynx have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win
The road team has won three of the Sparks’ last four games.
The Sparks have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Lynx’s last eight night games at Target Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Seven of the Sparks’ last eight night games at Target Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
Kayla McBride has hit at least 1 three-pointer in 28 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Natasha Howard has recorded 2+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts
Nneka Ogwumike is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (8.9) and free-throw percentage (84.8%) this season.
Dearica Hamby ranks 5th amongst qualified players for FG% (54.7%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.4).
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (39.1%).
The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for opponent assists per game this season (22.8).
The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for rebounds per game this season (31.0).
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction
I’m on the Lynx here. Minnesota hasn’t been great at covering big point spreads lately, but this is just a bad spot for the Sparks who were in a battle with the Chicago Sky on Wednesday and now have to do a true back-to-back which isn’t all that common in the WNBA compared to other leagues. Minnesota’s elite and well rested and the Sparks have major defensive issues that need addressing that won’t be helped here. Give me the Lynx.
