Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction 8/9/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 30, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) shoots the ball against Las Vegas Aces guard Jackie Young (0) during the fourth quarter of a WNBA basketball game at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty
Team Records
22-10
19-13
Spread
+9.5 -118
-9.5 -102
Moneyline
+300
-380
Total
Over 179.5 (-105)
Under 179.5 (-115)
Where
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
When
Sunday, August 9, 2026
Time
12:30 PM EDT
TV
ABC
The Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty prediction.
Matchup History
The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 30th, 2026, by a final score of 104-98, snapping New York’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Las Vegas Aces Recap
The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from their 98-87 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Lynx last time out to sit at 22-11 this season. After this game, the Aces will head home for a back-to-back with the Washington Mystics.
Aces Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.8 PPG along with 9.8 RPG and 3.2 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.9 PPG with 5.9 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.6 PPG with 7.2 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 17.5 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.
New York Liberty Recap
The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to a 92-86 win over the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 20-13 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road for a game against the Indiana Fever.
Liberty Win 3 Straight & 6 Of Last 7
Breanna Stewart has 21.3 PPG along with 8.6 RPG and 3 APG while Jonquel Jones has 14.4 PPG with 9 RPG. Satou Sabally has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Sabrina Ionescu has 16.2 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.6 APG and Leonie Fiebich has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season. Pauline Astier also has 9.7 PPG with 2.5 RPG and 3.5 APG.
Las Vegas Aces @ New York Liberty Betting Trends: August 9, 2026
Why the New York Liberty will win
The Liberty have won each of their last seven day games against the Aces.
The Aces have lost each of their last six day games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Liberty have covered the spread in six of their last seven day games against the Aces.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The Aces have won each of their last 10 day games following a road loss.
The Liberty have lost four of their last six games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites.
The Aces have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
Twelve of the Liberty’s last 13 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seven of the Aces’ last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 229 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Breanna Stewart has made 3+ free throws in nine consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
NaLyssa Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (65.5%) this season.
Stephanie Talbot ranks 37th amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (1.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Liberty rank 14th for steals per game this season (6.0).
The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (85.4%).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.4).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (5.1).
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty Prediction
I’m backing the Liberty here. This line for me is indicative of the idea that a few of the Aces, most notably A’ja Wilson, will sit this game on the true back-to-back with no rest to take a game to recover. The Liberty are back at full strength for the most part and we’ve seen when the Aces are short-handed, it doesn’t always end well and I think that this is just a tough spot for them to be in. Give me the Liberty laying the points here.
