Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction 9/29/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Las Vegas Aces guard Jewell Loyd (24) points after scoring Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026, during the first half of Game 1 of the first round of the WNBA Playoffs at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. The Las Vegas Aces defeated the Indiana Fever, 102-85.
MATCHUP
Las Vegas Aces
Indiana Fever
Team Records
31-13
28-16
Spread
+1.5 -120
-1.5 100
Moneyline
-102
-118
Total
Over 183.5 (-110)
Under 183.5 (-110)
Where
Indiana Stadium
When
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Time
06:30 PM EDT
TV
Prime Video
The Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Series Recap
The Las Vegas stormed out to a 1-0 series lead in this best of three set after a 102-85 win over the Fever in game one led by A’Ja Wilson’s 38-point and 16-rebound monster double-double while Aliyah Boston had 18 points in the losing effort for Indiana and Caitlin Clark and Jackie Young each chipped in a double-double for their respective sides with 10 assists apiece.
Aces Looking To Complete Sweep
A’ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.0 PPG along with a team-high 9.4 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Three more Aces players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Jackie Young who has 18.9 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.6 APG, Chelsea Gray with 12.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and a team-high 6.8 APG, and NaLyssa Smith who adds 11.7 PPG with 6.4 RPG to cap off the primary double-digit scorers for Las Vegas up to this point in the year. Jewell Loyd also has 7.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG for the Aces this season.
Fever Looking To Keep Season Alive
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 25.0 PPG along with 1.7 RPG and 2.8 APG while Caitlin Clark has added 22.5 PPG with 3.9 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead Indiana in assists so far this season. Aliyah Boston is the other double-digit scorer for the Fever, averaging 16.9 PPG along with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.0 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Indiana up to this point in the year. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.3 PPG with 2.3 RPG, while Monique Billings has chipped in 6.8 PPG and 4.8 RPG for the Fever this season.
Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever Betting Trends: September 29, 2026
Why the Indiana Fever will win
The Fever have won seven of their last eight night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
The Aces have lost three of their last four games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a home win.
The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last four night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games as underdogs.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The Aces have won each of their last eight games.
The Fever have lost 15 of their last 17 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Fever.
The Fever have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Aces’ last seven playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the last seven night games between the Fever and Aces at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone UNDER the total points line.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.0%) this season.
The Indiana Fever averages 99.0 points per 40 minutes while Makayla Timpson is on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.2) this season.
Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (92.8%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (96.0).
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for field goal percentage this season (48.7%).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (4.9).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m on the Aces in this one. I get the allure of backing the Fever to keep their season alive, but the Fever just had no answer inside for A’Ja Wilson, and the Aces just look like a team that’s primed and familiar with the rigors of postseason basketball. The Fever look like they have the star power with Clark and Mitchell, but lack the killer instinct to get it done when it matters most. Give me the Aces to sweep and advance.
