Las Vegas Aces vs Atlanta Dream Prediction 5/17/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 12, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Atlanta Dream forward Angel Reese (5) passes the ball during the game between the Wings and the Dream at College Park Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Las Vegas Aces
Atlanta Dream
Team Records
3-1
2-0
Spread
-3.5 -110
+3.5 -110
Moneyline
-162
+136
Total
Over 171.5 (-112)
Under 171.5 (-108)
Where
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
When
Sunday, May 17, 2026
Time
01:30 PM EDT
TV
NBC
The Las Vegas Aces and the Atlanta Dream meet Sunday in WNBA action from the State Farm Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream prediction.
Matchup History
The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 27th, 2025, by a final score of 81-75, making it five straight wins for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.
Las Vegas Aces Recap
The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to add on to their 101-94 win over the Connecticut Sun last time out to sit at 3-1this season. After this game, the Aces will head home for a game against the Los Angeles Sparks.
Aces Win 3 In A Row
A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.2 PPG along with 5.5 RPG and 2.8 APG while Jackie Young’s added 14 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 6 APG. Chennedy Carter’s added 19.3 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season while NaLyssa Smith has 8.3 PPG with 5.3 RPG and Chelsea Gray’s added 9.8 PPG with 6.8 APG to lead the Aces in assists.
Atlanta Dream Recap
The Atlanta Dream come into this game looking to add on to their 77-72 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 2-0 on the year. After this game, the Dream will have a rematch against the Wings at home.
Dream Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 25 PPG along with 6 RPG while Jordin Canada has 15.5 PPG with 4.5 RPG and a team-high 5.5 APG to lead the Dream in assists. Rhyne Howard has 14.5 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 4.5 APG and Angel Reese has 11.5 PPG with 15 RPG to lead the Dream in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game while rounding out the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta so far this season.
Las Vegas Aces @ Atlanta Dream Betting Trends: May 17, 2026
Why the Atlanta Dream will win
The Dream have won each of their last six day games.
The Aces have lost eight of their last nine day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The road team has won each of the Aces’ last six games.
The Dream have lost 10 of their last 11 games at State Farm Arena.
The Dream have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at State Farm Arena.
The road team has covered the spread in five of the Aces’ last six games.
Total Points Facts
Each of the last six games between the Dream and Aces have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Aces’ last five games at State Farm Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Dream Player Facts
Angel Reese ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (15.0) this season.
Jordin Canada has recorded 1+ assists in 157 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
Chennedy Carter ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.1%) this season.
A’ja Wilson is the only player in the league to have scored 40+ points in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (45.0).
The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.5).
The Las Vegas Aces rank T1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for field goal percentage this season (54.1%).
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction
I’m on the Aces here. It’s simply a feeling of this being a gut-check spot for Atlanta and to be the queen you have to beat the queen and the Aces are the gatekeeper at the top of the mountain right now. The Dream are loaded from a talent perspective, but I think that the Aces still hold the key here and I think Las Vegas gets it done here. Give me the Aces.
