Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 9/27/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 6, 2026; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) shoots the ball against Indiana Fever center Aliyah Boston (7) in the second half at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Indiana Fever
Las Vegas Aces
Team Records
28-16
31-13
Spread
+3.5 -105
-3.5 -115
Moneyline
+145
-175
Total
Over 182.5 (-108)
Under 182.5 (-112)
Where
Las Vegas Stadium
When
Sunday, September 27, 2026
Time
04:00 PM EDT
TV
ABC
The Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Matchup History
The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 6th, 2026, by a final score of 86-84, snapping Indiana’s two-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.
Indiana Fever Recap
The Indiana Fever come into this game as the 6-seed, finishing the year with a record of 28-16.
Fever Looking To Steal Home Court
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 25.0 PPG along with 1.7 RPG and 2.8 APG while Caitlin Clark has added 22.5 PPG with 3.9 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead Indiana in assists so far this season. Aliyah Boston is the other double-digit scorer for the Fever, averaging 16.9 PPG along with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.0 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Indiana up to this point in the year. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.3 PPG with 2.3 RPG, while Monique Billings has chipped in 6.8 PPG and 4.8 RPG for the Fever this season.
Las Vegas Aces Recap
The Las Vegas Aces come into the postseason as the 3-seed, finishing the year at 31-13 this season.
Aces Looking To Defend WNBA Crown
A’ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.0 PPG along with a team-high 9.4 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Three more Aces players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Jackie Young who has 18.9 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.6 APG, Chelsea Gray with 12.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and a team-high 6.8 APG, and NaLyssa Smith who adds 11.7 PPG with 6.4 RPG to cap off the primary double-digit scorers for Las Vegas up to this point in the year. Jewell Loyd also has 7.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG for the Aces this season.
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 27, 2026
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The Aces have won each of their last seven games.
The Fever have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs after losing as favorites.
The Fever have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs after losing as favorites.
The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last five home games following a road win.
Why the Indiana Fever will win
The Fever have won each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
The Aces have lost each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last four day games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Fever’s last seven games against the Aces following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Aces’ last six playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.2) this season.
Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (92.8%) this season.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.0%) this season.
The Indiana Fever averages 99.0 points per 40 minutes while Makayla Timpson is on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (4.9).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (96.0).
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for field goal percentage this season (48.7%).
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m on the Aces in this one. I get the case to be made for the Fever, as the Fever have gotten the better of the Aces a couple of times this season. However, this is when the Aces shine the brightest on the big stage and the motivation of defending their title has me thinking they’ll come out with a purpose in this game. I think the Aces draw first blood in the series so give me the Aces.
