Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 7/5/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jun 28, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) drives to the basket against Chicago Sky forward-center Azura Stevens (30) during the second half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Indiana Fever
Las Vegas Aces
Team Records
11-8
15-5
Spread
+3.5 -120
-3.5 100
Moneyline
+130
-155
Total
Over 179.5 (-112)
Under 179.5 (-108)
Where
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When
Sunday, July 5, 2026
Time
07:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN
The Indiana Fever and the Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Matchup History
The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on September 30th, 2025, with the Aces eliminating Indiana from the playoffs.
Indiana Fever Recap
The Indiana Fever come into this game off of their 111-87 win over Los Angeles last time out to sit at 11-8 this season. After this game, the Fever will head on the road for a rematch against the Sparks.
Fever Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 21.6 PPG along with 2.6 APG while Caitlin Clark has 21.2 PPG with 4 RPG and a team-high 8.2 APG to lead the Fever in assists. Aliyah Boston also has 17 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fever so far this season. Sophie Cunningham has 9.6 PPG with 2.6 RPG and Monique Billings also has 6.8 PPG with 5.1 RPG this season.
Las Vegas Aces Recap
The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to add on to their 98-90 win over Chicago last time out to sit at 15-6 this season. After this game, the Aces will head on the road for a game against the Portland Fire.
Aces Win 7 Of Last 10
A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 25.7 PPG along with 9.4 RPG and 2.9 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.9 PPG with 6.4 RPG. Chennedy Carter’s added 13.3 PPG and Chelsea Gray’s added 12.6 PPG with 7.4 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 16.5 PPG with 4.7 RPG and 6.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: July 5, 2026
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The Aces have won each of their last nine day games against teams that held a winning record.
The Fever have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Fever’s last seven games.
Why the Indiana Fever will win
The Fever have won seven of their last eight day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Aces have lost eight of their last 10 day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last eight Sunday day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Eight of the Aces’ last nine games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Fever’s last four day games have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.8%) this season.
NaLyssa Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (67.4%) this season.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
Kelsey Mitchell has hit 3+ three-pointers in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Sophie Cunningham ranks 1st amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (67.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.6).
The Las Vegas Aces rank T1st for blocks per game this season (5.4).
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (93.9).
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.3).
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m backing the Aces here. I just don’t trust the Fever for consistency right now and while the Aces without Wilson are not a tempting bet, the fact is that they’ve shown they can perform without her and I think Las Vegas at home is just a different beast to have to deal with. Give me the Aces here.
