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Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Sep 10, 2025; Uncasville, Connecticut, USA; Atlanta Dream guard Allisha Gray (15) shoots the ball against the Connecticut Sun during the first half at Mohegan Sun Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images

Sep 10, 2025; Uncasville, Connecticut, USA; Atlanta Dream guard Allisha Gray (15) shoots the ball against the Connecticut Sun during the first half at Mohegan Sun Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images

Indiana (24-20) vs Atlanta (30-14)

September 14, 2025 at 03:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -7.5 — Over/Under: +159

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Fever and the Atlanta Dream meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Gateway Center Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream prediction.

Matchup History

The Indiana Fever won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 11th, 2025, making it five straight meetings between these two teams without back-to-back winners in this head-to-head matchup.

Indiana Fever Recap

The Indiana Fever come into the playoffs as the 7-seed, finishing the year with a 24-20 overall record this season, including an 11-11 road record so far this season. 

Fever Looking To Carry Over Momentum Into Playoffs

Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 20.3 PPG along with 3.4 APG while Caitlin Clark has 16.5 PPG with 5 RPG and a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Fever in assists, but is out for the rest of the season with an injury. Aliyah Boston has 15.4 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG and 3.6 APG to lead the Fever in rebounding and Natasha Howard has 11.3 PPG with 6.7 RPG. Odyssey Sims has 10.6 PPG and 4.1 APG in 8 games played so far to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fever so far this season. Lexie Hull has added 7 PPG with 4.4 RPG. Sophie Cunningham also has 8.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 84.5 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 77% from the foul line this season.

Atlanta Dream Recap

The Atlanta Dream come into this series as the 2-seed, finishing the year 30-14 overall this season including a 16-6 mark at home this season.

Dream Rolling Into Playoffs On Fire

Allisha Gray leads the Dream in scoring with 18.7 PPG and 3.6 APG while also chipping in 5.4 RPG and Rhyne Howard has 16.6 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 4.6 APG as well this season. Brionna Jones has 12.9 PPG with a team-high 7.2 RPG to lead the Dream on the glass and Jordin Canada has 12 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 5.7 APG. Brittney Griner’s also chipped in 10 PPG and 5.4 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Atlanta up to this point in the season. As a team, the Dream are averaging 83.4 PPG on 43.9% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 77.7% from the foul line this season.

Indiana Fever @ Atlanta Dream Betting Trends: September 14, 2025

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

  • The Fever have lost each of their last 11 road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have won each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Dream have lost each of their last six playoff games.
  • The Fever have won each of their last five day games.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six playoff games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Dream’s last nine home playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Fever’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Dream Player Facts

  • Allisha Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (5.3) this season.
  • Rhyne Howard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.1) this season.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
  • Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (36.6).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for opponent rebounds per game this season (31.4).
  • The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after Q3 this season – trailed by 11 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
  • The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction

I’m on the Dream here. I get the case to be made for the Fever with the points, but the thing here is that the Fever just don’t have the chops to hang in this matchup in my opinion. That’s not to say there isn’t talent for the Fever in this matchup, but the Dream are just the better team by a fair margin in my eyes here, especially being at home as well in this one. I think Atlanta starts the series with a bang so give me the Dream here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta -7.5

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