Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty Prediction 5/21/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Golden State Valkyries and the New York Liberty meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty prediction.

Matchup History

The Valkyries won their most recent meeting with the Liberty by a final score of 66-58 back on September 2nd, 2025 for their first all-time win against the Liberty.

Golden State Valkyries Recap

The Golden State Valkyries come into this game looking to bounce back from a 69-63 loss at the hands of the Chicago Sky to slide to 2-1 this season. After this game, the Valkyries will head on the road for a game against the Indiana Fever.

Valkyries Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Janelle Salaun leads the Valkyries with 15.7 PPG along with 2 RPG while Kayla Thornton has 10.7 PPG with 5.7 RPG and Veronica Burton’s added 15 PPG with a team-high 7.3 APG to lead the Valkyries in assists. Gabby Williams has 14.7 PPG with 5.3 RPG, 2.7 APG and 2 SPG this season.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 100-82 win over the Portland Fire last time out to improve to 3-1 this season. After this game, the Liberty will take on the Dallas Wings at home.

Liberty Looking To Build Momentum

Breanna Stewart has 23 PPG along with 9 RPG while Marine Johanes has 15.8 PPG and 3.3 RPG and 5 APG. Jonquel Jones has 11.5 PPG with 7.3 RPG and Pauline Astier has 16.8 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 4 APG. Rebekah Gardner has 10 PPG with 3.5 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.

Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty Betting Trends: May 21, 2026

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Valkyries have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have won 28 of their last 35 night games at Barclays Center.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of the Liberty’s last five games.
• The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Valkyries have won five of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Liberty have lost four of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games following a road win.
• The Valkyries have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Liberty’s last seven home games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Valkyries’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Liberty rank 1st for points per game this season (100.0).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+13.0).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (76.0).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent steals per game this season (4.3).

Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty Prediction

I’m on the Liberty here. Without question, this will be the toughest test the Liberty have had up to this point, but they still have the benefit of being at home here and both of these teams have had significant layoffs so there could be some rust here. But outside of that dud loss at the hands of Portland, the Liberty have looked scary good which is concerning for the rest of the league considering the Liberty aren’t fully healthy. I think New York takes advantage of their matchup here and grabs the win and cover here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York -7.5