Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 10/9/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Oct 7, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) controls the ball ahead of Golden State Valkyries forward Kayla Thornton (5) during the fourth quarter of game two of the second round for the 2026 WNBA Playoffs at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Golden State Valkyries
Las Vegas Aces
Team Records
32-12
31-13
Spread
+3.5 -105
-3.5 -115
Moneyline
+150
-180
Total
Over 156.5 (-115)
Under 156.5 (-105)
Where
Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When
Friday, October 9, 2026
Time
09:30 PM EDT
TV
Peacock
The Golden State Valkyries and the Las Vegas Aces meet Friday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Series Recap
The Golden State Valkyries took a 2-0 series lead after picking up an 83-81 win over the Aces in game two last time out, led by 21 points off of the bench by Tiffany Hayes on 6 of 10 shooting while Gabby Williams added 20 points with 3 threes and 5 rebounds and Kayla Thornton had 16 points with 3 threes of her own. Kiah Stokes also chipped in a team-high 7 rebounds. A’Ja Wilson led Las Vegas with 24 points with 7 rebounds while Chelsea Gray added 19 points with 3 threes and 6 assists and Jackie Young had 14 points with 8 assists. Kalani Brown also had 9 points with a team-high 8 rebounds for the Aces in the loss.
Valkyries Pushing For Sweep
Gabby Williams leads the Valkyries in scoring with 14.3 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 2.2 APG while Janelle Salaun has added 12.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG so far this season. Veronica Burton is the other double-digit scorer for Golden State, averaging 12.3 PPG along with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Valkyries in assists and cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year. Tiffany Hayes adds 8.9 PPG, Cecilia Zandalasini chips in 8.8 PPG, Kayla Thornton has 7.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG, and Kiah Stokes leads Golden State on the glass with a team-high 5.4 RPG.
Aces Trying To Keep Season Alive
A’ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.0 PPG along with a team-high 9.4 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Three more Aces players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Jackie Young who has 18.9 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.6 APG, Chelsea Gray with 12.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and a team-high 6.8 APG, and NaLyssa Smith who adds 11.7 PPG with 6.4 RPG to cap off the primary double-digit scorers for Las Vegas up to this point in the year. Jewell Loyd also has 7.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG for the Aces this season.
Golden State Valkyries @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: October 9, 2026
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The favorites have won each of the Aces’ last 12 games.
The Valkyries have lost 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a road loss.
The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
The Valkyries have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
The Aces have lost each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Valkyries have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Seven of the Valkyries’ last eight road games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Seven of the Aces’ last eight night games at Michelob Ultra Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.2) this season.
Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (92.8%) this season.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
Gabby Williams has hit 3+ three-pointers in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Kiah Stokes has recorded 22 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (4.9).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).
The Golden State Valkyries rank 14th for points per game this season (82.2).
The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (75.1).
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Valkyries and the points. It just feels like this is the Valkyries’ time as they’ve been able to figure out Las Vegas in this series and even though it’s a back against the wall spot for the Aces with the Valkyries outside of Ballhalla, I think that Golden State can at least make the Aces work for it if Golden State doesn’t win this game outright. Give me Golden State and the points.
