Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Prediction 9/30/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 27, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) dribbles by Golden State Valkyries guard-forward Kaila Charles (6) and forward Gabby Williams (1) in the second quarter during game one of the first round for the 2026 WNBA Playoffs at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Golden State Valkyries
Dallas Wings
Team Records
32-12
27-17
Spread
-4.5 -110
+4.5 -110
Moneyline
-192
+160
Total
Over 156.5 (-112)
Under 156.5 (-108)
Where
Dallas Stadium
When
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Time
09:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN
The Dallas Wings and the Golden State Valkyries meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the College Park Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries prediction.
Series Recap
The Golden State Valkyries will be looking to add on to their 104-80 win over Dallas in game one. Cecelia Zandalasini had 22 points and 4 threes to lead the Valkyries while Tiffany Hayes added 21 off of the bench and Gabby Williams chipped in 20 points. Paige Bueckers led Dallas with 21 points in the loss on an efficient 9 of 10 shooting while four Wings scored in double figures in the losing effort.
Wings Trying To Save Season
Paige Bueckers leads the Wings in scoring with 20.5 PPG along with 4.1 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG so far this season. Three more Wings players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Arike Ogunbowale who has 15.2 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 3.2 APG, Jessica Shepard who has 14.4 PPG with 4.9 APG and a team-high 11.1 RPG on the glass, and Azzi Fudd who adds 13.1 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Dallas up to this point in the year.
Valkyries Trying To Complete Sweep
Gabby Williams leads the Valkyries in scoring with 14.3 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 2.2 APG while Janelle Salaun has added 12.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG so far this season. Veronica Burton is the other double-digit scorer for Golden State, averaging 12.3 PPG along with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Valkyries in assists and cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year. Tiffany Hayes adds 8.9 PPG, Cecilia Zandalasini chips in 8.8 PPG, Kayla Thornton has 7.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG, and Kiah Stokes leads Golden State on the glass with a team-high 5.4 RPG.
Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings Betting Trends: September 30, 2026
Why the Dallas Wings will win
The Wings have won each of their last seven home games.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the Valkyries’ last five games.
The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
The favorites have won each of the Wings’ last 12 games at College Park Center.
The Wings have lost each of their last 11 Wednesday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Wings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
The Valkyries have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Nine of the Wings’ last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seven of the Valkyries’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
Arike Ogunbowale has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Aziaha James ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.7) this season.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
Kiah Stokes has recorded 20 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
Veronica Burton has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Wings rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.3).
The Dallas Wings rank 14th for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.6).
The Golden State Valkyries rank 14th for points per game this season (82.2).
The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (75.1).
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction
I’m on the Valkyries here. The Valkyries have been the better team in this matchup for some time now and that was clearly evident in game one. Dallas has the talent but it just feels like this is the year where Dallas took the progression of making the playoffs and next year they take the next step. Until then, there’s too much going against Dallas for me to back them, even as home underdogs here. Give me the Valkyries.
