Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 10/2/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 27, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) dribbles by Golden State Valkyries guard-forward Kaila Charles (6) and forward Gabby Williams (1) in the second quarter during game one of the first round for the 2026 WNBA Playoffs at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Dallas Wings
Golden State Valkyries
Team Records
27-17
32-12
Spread
+7.5 -105
-7.5 -115
Moneyline
+260
-325
Total
Over 158.5 (-115)
Under 158.5 (-105)
Where
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
When
Friday, October 2, 2026
Time
09:00 PM EDT
TV
ESPN2
The Dallas Wings and the Golden State Valkyries meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Chase Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries prediction.
Matchup History
The Golden State Valkyries won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 17th, 2026, by a final score of 78-70.
Dallas Wings Recap
The Dallas Wings come into the playoffs as the 7-seed after finishing the year with a record of 27-17.
Wings Looking To Spring First Round Upset
Paige Bueckers leads the Wings in scoring with 20.5 PPG along with 4.1 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG so far this season. Three more Wings players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Arike Ogunbowale who has 15.2 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 3.2 APG, Jessica Shepard who has 14.4 PPG with 4.9 APG and a team-high 11.1 RPG on the glass, and Azzi Fudd who adds 13.1 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Dallas up to this point in the year.
Golden State Valkyries Recap
The Golden State Valkyries come into the postseason as the 2-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 32-12 this season.
Valkyries Looking To Take Next Step As A Team
Gabby Williams leads the Valkyries in scoring with 14.3 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 2.2 APG while Janelle Salaun has added 12.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG so far this season. Veronica Burton is the other double-digit scorer for Golden State, averaging 12.3 PPG along with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Valkyries in assists and cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year. Tiffany Hayes adds 8.9 PPG, Cecilia Zandalasini chips in 8.8 PPG, Kayla Thornton has 7.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG, and Kiah Stokes leads Golden State on the glass with a team-high 5.4 RPG.
Dallas Wings @ Golden State Valkyries Betting Trends: October 2, 2026
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
The Wings have lost each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Valkyries have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
The Wings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the Valkyries’ last six games.
Why the Dallas Wings will win
The Wings have won eight of their last 10 games.
The Wings have covered the spread in eight of their last nine Friday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.
Total Points Facts
Eight of the Wings’ last nine games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of the last seven games between the Valkyries and Wings have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
Kiah Stokes has recorded 21 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
Veronica Burton has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
Arike Ogunbowale has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Aziaha James ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Golden State Valkyries rank 14th for points per game this season (82.2).
The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (75.1).
The Dallas Wings rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.3).
The Dallas Wings rank 14th for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.6).
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries Prediction
I’m on the Valkyries in this one. Golden State has made Ballhalla one of the toughest road environments in the WNBA since their inception into the league and I look for that to continue here in year two as this team has real championship aspirations and are out to prove that it’s their time. Dallas has taken their next step as well, but I think this is just a tall task for a playoff opener so give me Golden State at home in this one.
