Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 7/6/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jun 28, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Minnesota Lynx guard Kayla McBride (21) and Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) in action during the game between the Wings and the Lynx at College Park Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Connecticut Sun
Minnesota Lynx
Team Records
4-16
15-5
Where
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
When
Monday, July 6, 2026
Time
08:00 PM EDT
TV
WNBA League Pass
The Connecticut Sun and the Minnesota Lynx meet Friday in WNBA action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.
Matchup History
The Minnesota Lynx won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 94-70 last time out on August 30th, 2025, making it four straight wins for Minnesota in this head-to-head matchup.
Connecticut Sun Recap
The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to bounce back from an 86-83 loss at the hands of Dallas last time out to sit at 4-16 this season. After this game, the Sun will head home for their rematch against Minnesota before taking on Golden State at home.
Sun Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Aneesah Morrow is averaging 11.7 PPG and 10.4 RPG while Brittney Griner has 12.1 PPG with 4.9 RPG and Leila Lacan has 11.9 PPG with 4.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Connecticut so far this season. Aaliyah Edwards has added 9.9 PPG with 3.6 RPG and Saniya Rivers has 3.6 APG as well this season. Diamond Miller also has 8.8 PPG with 2.1 RPG as well this season.
Minnesota Lynx Recap
The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to shake off a 99-86 loss at the hands of the Liberty last time out to sit at 15-5 this season. After this game, the Lynx will head on the road for the rematch against Connecticut before returning home to take on the New York Liberty.
Lynx Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Kayla McBride has 14.6 PPG along with 3.9 RPG while Olivia Miles has 18.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG and a team-high 5.7 APG to lead the Lynx in assists. Courtney Williams has 15.8 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 4.1 APG. Natasha Howard has 17.7 PPG with 8.2 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota so far this season.
Connecticut Sun @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: July 6, 2026
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
The Sun have lost each of their last 15 road games against teams that held a winning record.
The Lynx have won each of their last 14 home games against teams that held a losing record.
The Lynx have covered the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
The Sun have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Lynx teams that held a winning record.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
The underdogs have won four of the Sun’s last five games.
The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Sun’s last nine games.
The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Lynx’s last four night games at Target Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of the Sun’s last seven games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
Kayla McBride has hit 4+ three-pointers in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Nia Coffey has recorded 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Connecticut Sun Player Facts
Leila Lacan has recorded at least 1 steal in 14 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Charlisse Leger-Walker has recorded five games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.9).
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (36.7).
The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for assists per game this season (18.6).
The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (25.0).
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction
I’m on the Lynx here. This should be a comfortable win for one of the best teams in the WNBA against one of the worst teams in the WNBA and Connecticut this season as a double-digit underdog has been awful. I think this is a runaway for the Lynx in this one so give me Minnesota here.
