Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 5/15/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 13, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Chicago Sky center Kamilla Cardoso (10) shoots a free throw during the fourth quarter against the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Kupbens-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Chicago Sky
Phoenix Mercury
Team Records
2-0
1-2
Spread
+4.5 -115
-4.5 -105
Moneyline
+145
-175
Total
Over 166.5 (-105)
Under 166.5 (-115)
Where
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
When
Friday, May 15, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
ION
The Chicago Sky and the Phoenix Mercury meet Friday in WNBA action from the Mortgage Matchup Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.
Matchup History
The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 28th, 2025, by a final score of 83-79, making it seven straight wins for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.
Chicago Sky Recap
The Chicago Sky come into this game looking to build on a 69-63 win over Golden State last time out to sit at 2-0 on the year. After this game, the Sky will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Lynx.
Sky Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Rickea Jackson leads the Sky in scoring with 18.5 PPG along with 6 RPG and 4 APG while Skylar Diggins has 18 PPG with 8 RPG and a team-high 7 APG to lead the Sky in assists. Kamilla Cardoso has 15 PPG with 10.5 RPG to lead the Sky in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game and Jacy Sheldon has 12.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Chicago so far this season.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to bounce back from their 88-84 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Lynx last time out to sit at 1-2 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will take on the Toronto Tempo in a series at home.
Mercury Looking To Shake Off Back-To-Back Losses
Alyssa Thomas has 16.3 PPG with 6.3 RPG and a team-high 9.3 APG while Jovana Nogic has 12.3 PPG. Kahleah Copper has 18 PPG with 2.7 APG and Natasha Mack has 10 PPG with 9 RPG and DeWanna Bonner also has 11.3 PPG with 7.3 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Kiana Williams also has 6.7 PPG for the Mercury this season.
Chicago Sky @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: May 15, 2026
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Sky have lost each of their last 11 games after winning as underdogs.
The Mercury have won each of their last nine night games against the Sky at Mortgage Matchup Center.
The Mercury have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home loss.
The Sky have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games after winning as underdogs.
Why the Chicago Sky will win
The Sky have won eight of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Mercury have lost four of their last five games as favorites after losing as favorites.
The Sky have covered the spread in each of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Mercury’s last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Sky’s last seven games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.3) this season.
Natasha Mack ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
Chicago Sky Player Facts
Jacy Sheldon ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 90 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (41.3%).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (12.3).
The Chicago Sky rank T14th for steals per game this season (5.5).
The Chicago Sky rank T1st for blocks per game this season (8.0).
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
I’m on the Sky and the points here. I just think that Chicago might be slightly better than I intiially thought coming into the year and the lustre has definitely worn off of Phoenix’s season opening win over the Aces. I wouldn’t be surprised if Chicago won this one outright, so give me the Sky and the points.
