Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces 9/11/22 WNBA Picks and Prediction

Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun

Sunday, September 11

The Line Las Vegas Aces -6.5 --- Over/Under 168.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Connecticut Sun and Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in game 1 of the WNBA Finals at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. The Connecticut Sun are coming off a 5-game series with the Sky. The Las Vegas Aces are coming off a 4-game series with the Storm. 

The Connecticut Sun are averaging 79.8 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 72.8 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.4 points and 1.9 assists, while DeWanna Bonner is averaging 13.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Brionna Jones is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.1 rebounds per game.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 92.3 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 80.3 points on 42 percent shooting. Chelsea Gray is averaging 24 points and 4.3 rebounds, while A’ja Wilson is averaging 20.5 points and 10.8 rebounds. Kelsey Plum is the third double-digit scorer and Jackie Young is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 42.6 percent from beyond the arc and 87.5 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.3 rebounds per game.

The Sun are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 vs. Western Conference. The Aces are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 WNBA Championship games. The under is 5-1 in Sun last 6 overall. The under is 7-3 in Aces last 10 home games. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

All 3 games between these teams this season were competitive and while the Aces won 2 of those meetings, it's the Sun who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. The Las Vegas Aces are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, but as I've said all year, the Sun are crazy talented and a team I'm going to back in the underdog role. In fact, the Sun have covered 9 of their last 10 road games and 16 of their last 21 games overall. The Sun simply put money in your pocket. The Aces have failed to cover 12 of their last 16 home games. Give me the points with the road team.

Randy’s Pick Connecticut Sun +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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