Dallas Wings at Connecticut Sun 8/18/22 WNBA Picks and Prediction

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The Dallas Wings and Connecticut Sun meet Thursday in game 1 of the WNBA Playoffs First Round at the Mohegan Sun Arena. The Dallas Wings have won 6 of their last 8 games. The Connecticut Sun have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Dallas Wings are averaging 82.9 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 82.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Arike Ogunbowale is averaging 19.7 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Marina Mabrey is averaging 13.6 points and 3.6 rebounds. Allisha Gray is the third double-digit scorer and Satou Sabally is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Wings are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game.

The Connecticut Sun are averaging 85.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 77.8 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.6 points and 1.8 assists, while Brionna Jones is averaging 13.8 points and 5.1 rebounds. DeWanna Bonner is the third double-digit scorer and Alyssa Thomas is grabbing 8.2 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game.

The Wings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Sun are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Wings last 5 overall. The over is 4-0 in Sun last 4 overall. The Wings are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Connecticut and 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

The Connecticut Sun are the more talented team here and are a club I've hyped up all year. When at their best, you can argue the Sun are the best team in the league in terms of talent, and they're worth a look as a future bet as we begin the playoffs. I love the Sun and understand why this line is what it is. With that said, the Dallas Wings are playing their best ball of the season right now, and they've won 2 of the 3 meetings this season against the Sun, which includes an 11-poiint win on July 5. Teams that head into the postseason hot are dangerous. Give me the Wings and free buckets.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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