Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces 7/19/22 WNBA Picks and Prediction

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The Atlanta Dream and Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. The Atlanta Dream look for a win after splitting their last 6 games. The Las Vegas Aces look to build on their 3-game winning streak.

The Atlanta Dream are averaging 77.5 points on 41.9 percent shooting and allowing 80.2 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Rhyne Howard is averaging 14.7 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Tiffany Hayes is averaging 14.5 points and 2.3 assists. Cheyenne Parker is the third double-digit scorer and AD Durr is dishing 1.8 assists. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 91.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 85.5 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Kelsey Plum is averaging 20.3 points and 2.9 rebounds, while A’ja Wilson is averaging 19 points and 9.9 rebounds. Jackie Young is the third double-digit scorer and Chelsea Gray is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game.

The Dream are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Aces are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Dream last 7 overall. The over is 3-1-2 in Aces last 6 overall. The Dream are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Las Vegas and 9-19 ATS in the last 28 meetings.

The Las Vegas Aces are coming off 3 strong victories, and they're clearly the better team, so I understand why they're comfortable favorites at home. However, this line is quite massive for an Aces squad that's not covering numbers these days. The Atlanta Dream are not a good team and their defense has been getting rocked lately, but they're coming off a strong performance against the Mercury, and they have hung around with some of the better teams in the league at times. I'm just not thrilled to lay this many points. It's Dream or pass for me.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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