Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx 7/12/22 WNBA Picks and Prediction

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The Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the Target Center. The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Minnesota Lynx look for a win after winning 5 of their last 7 games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 82.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 84.8 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Skylar Diggins-Smith is averaging 18.9 points and 4 rebounds, while Tina Charles is averaging 17.3 points and 7.3 rebounds. Diana Taurasi is the third double-digit scorer and Diamond DeShields is dishing 2 assists. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.

The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 81.9 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 83 points on 44 percent shooting. Sylvia Fowles is averaging 14.9 points and 9.2 rebounds, while Aerial Powers is averaging 13.8 points and 3.3 assists. Kayla McBride is the third double-digit scorer and Moriah Jefferson is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

The Mercury are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. The Lynx are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall. The under is 2-0-2 in Lynx last 4 overall. The Mercury are 5-11-2 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Minnesota and 15-35-2 ATS in the last 52 meetings.

The Minnesota Lynx are playing the better basketball at the moment, and they've been covering machines these last few weeks. The Phoenix Mercury have underachieved all season long, and they're dealing with off the court drama, which includes trade rumors surrounding Skylar Diggins-Smith. I understand why the line is what it is, especially at home. With all that said, I still believe the Mercury are the more talented team of the two, and that makes them valuable in a spot like this. Even with all the drama, the Mercury are still in the thick of the playoff race. They need to win games like this. Give me the points.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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