Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun - 10/10/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun - 10/10/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Connecticut Sun (23-11) vs. Washington Mystics (26-8)

WNBA Basketball: Thursday, October 10, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Entertainment and Sports Arena)

The Line: Washington Mystics -6.5 -- Over/Under: 175

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The Connecticut Sun and Washington Mystics meet Thursday in game five of the WNBA Finals at the Entertainment and Sports Arena.

The Connecticut Sun look to win their first WNBA Championship in franchise history with a victory here. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 82 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 78.3 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.6 points and 9.7 rebounds while Courtney Williams is averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Jasmine Thomas is dishing 5.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 71.4 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game. The Connecticut Sun split their last 10 road games.

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The Washington Mystics look to win their first WNBA Championship in franchise history with a victory here. The Washington Mystics are averaging 89.7 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 79.8 points on 44 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 19.5 points and 8.3 rebounds while Emma Meesseman is averaging 13.1 points and 3.2 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Aerial Powers is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 87.7 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics have won 13 of their last 14 home games.

The Sun are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mystics are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference. The Sun are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Washington. The under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Washington. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The over is 22-8 in Mystics last 30 overall. The over is 4-0 in Sun last 4 overall.

We've been saying all season that the Connecticut Sun aren't the same team on the road as they are at home, and they're actually losing on the road this season by an average of 2.4 points. The Washington Mystics have been covering machines at home where they win by an average of 14.8 points and shoot 48.4 percent from the field. However, this is game five of the finals, and I have a hard time leaving this many points on the table. The Sun have also won five of the last eight meetings against the Mystics. Give me the points in what should be another nail biter given what's on the line.

See you guys next season! 

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Randy’s Pick Connecticut Sun +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.