Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics - 10/8/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics - 10/8/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Mystics (26-8) vs. Connecticut Sun (23-11)

WNBA Basketball: Tuesday, October 8, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Mohegan Sun Arena)

The Line: Connecticut Sun +1 -- Over/Under: 173.5

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The Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun meet Tuesday in game four of the WNBA Finals at the Mohegan Sun Arena.

The Washington Mystics will produce their first WNBA title with a victory here. The Washington Mystics are averaging 89.6 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 79.5 points on 44 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 19.5 points and 8.3 rebounds while Emma Meesseman is averaging 13.1 points and 3.2 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Aerial Powers is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 87.8 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.6 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics have won six of their last eight road games.

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The Connecticut Sun need a win here to save their season and force a game five on Thursday. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 81.8 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 77.7 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.6 points and 9.7 rebounds while Courtney Williams is averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Jasmine Thomas is dishing 5.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game. The Connecticut Sun have won 11 of their last 13 home games.

The Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sun are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Mystics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Connecticut and 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The over is 20-8 in Mystics last 28 overall. The over is 7-3 in Sun last 10 overall.

We got burned in the last game due to Elena Delle Donne returning when everything said she wouldn't be playing due to injury. The Washington Mystics are the best team in the league at full force. However, the Connecticut Sun have been kind to us all season at home both SU and ATS, and they're winning at home this year by an average of 9.6 points while shooting 44.8 percent from the field. The Sun haven't lost back-to-back home games all season. I'll take the free point with the Sun at home and hope we see a deciding game give between these two teams.

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Randy’s Pick Connecticut Sun +1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.