Week 1 NFL Picks Breakdown!

The Miami Dolphins commenced their preseason with a successful start, securing victories in their initial two games. They achieved a 20-13 triumph against the Atlanta Falcons, followed by a 13-6 win over the Washington Commanders. However, they faced a setback in their final exhibition game on August 23, losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a score of 24-14.

The Pick:

The Miami Dolphins underwent substantial roster modifications during the offseason, yet they successfully retained several key players while enhancing their lineup through free agency. Although notable figures such as Christian Wilkins and Xavien Howard have departed, the team continues to feature significant contributors like Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, and Tyreek Hill. Meanwhile, the Jacksonville Jaguars are focused on securing a playoff position. This season is pivotal for quarterback Trevor Lawrence as he navigates a challenging AFC landscape. The Jaguars may be somewhat overlooked this year, especially with the Houston Texans making a comeback, which could ultimately benefit their playoff aspirations. Regarding the Week 1 matchup, it appears that the Jaguars may not cover the spread, but it promises to be an engaging contest. Go with Miami at -3.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Steelers at Falcons at 1 PM ET

The Pittsburgh Steelers experienced a challenging preseason, particularly in terms of securing victories. They began their exhibition schedule with a defeat against the Texans, losing 20-12, followed by a narrow loss of 9-3 to the Bills, which was a rematch of their playoff defeat from the previous year. The preseason concluded with a 24-17 loss to the Lions.

Atlanta did not secure any victories in their preseason games, although this does not serve as a definitive indicator of future performance. The Falcons lost their opening match against the Dolphins with a score of 20-13, followed by a narrow defeat of 13-12 against the Ravens. They concluded the preseason with a significant loss to the Jaguars, ending the game at 31-0.

The Pick:

Pittsburgh faces a significant challenge in 2024, as they have been assigned the most demanding schedule in the NFL. The intensity of the competition escalates in the latter part of the season, making it crucial for Pittsburgh to achieve strong performances in the early games. The offense will present a new dynamic, with the Steelers altering their quarterback lineup to include Russell Wilson and Justin Fields, in addition to acquiring two new offensive line starters through the draft. On the offensive front, the Falcons are anticipated to make considerable progress, with many analysts predicting that the team will secure a comfortable number of victories in the double digits. However, the defense poses a concern for Atlanta, as they have lost several key veterans and impactful players. If both teams perform at their best, the matchup is likely to be closely contested, and I believe Pittsburgh has the potential to cover the +2.5 spread.

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Panthers at Saints at 1 PM ET

Carolina concluded the preseason with a record of 1-2, beginning with a defeat of 17-3 to New England. In their second matchup, the Panthers fell to the Jets with a score of 15-12, but they managed to secure a victory against the Bills in their final game, winning 31-26. The team is relying on Bryce Young to significantly improve his performance compared to the previous season; however, I remain skeptical about the strength of his supporting cast. In my view, the running back group is lacking, and there is a pressing need for Diontae Johnson to enhance the receiving corps.

The New Orleans Saints concluded the preseason with a record of 1-2, starting with a narrow victory of 16-14 over Arizona. They subsequently suffered a defeat against San Francisco, with a final score of 16-10, followed by another loss to Tennessee, which ended 30-27. This season, the Saints will rely on Derek Carr, but for him to succeed, the team must enhance its rushing attack to facilitate the passing game. Should the offensive line fail to demonstrate improvement from the previous year, it is unlikely that the team's record will see any significant enhancement.

The Pick:

New Orleans enters this season aiming to maintain the positive momentum established by a successful conclusion to 2023, whereas the Panthers are focused on enhancing their competitiveness this year. Bryce Young is anticipated to demonstrate growth following last year's experiences; however, I remain skeptical about the support he has from his teammates. New Orleans is fortunate to commence the season with a game they are favored to win, and I anticipate a robust performance from their offense. Given that New Orleans is the superior team in this matchup and playing at home, I believe the Saints will comfortably cover the -4 spread.

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Patriots at Bengals at 1 PM ET

The performance of the quarterback position in New England has been subpar in recent seasons, prompting the team to turn to Jacoby Brissett, who has secured the starting role over Drake Maye. Brissett faces significant challenges, as he is supported by a vulnerable offensive line and a wide receiver corps that is below average. During the preseason, New England recorded a 1-2 record, beginning with a victory of 17-3 against Carolina in their opening match. However, they subsequently lost to Philadelphia with a score of 14-3 and concluded the preseason with a defeat against Washington, finishing 20-10.

The Cincinnati Bengals closed their preseason with a record of 0-3, starting with a narrow defeat of 17-14 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They followed this with a significant loss to the Chicago Bears, finishing the game at 27-3, and ended the preseason with a 27-14 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. The team anticipates a standout season from quarterback Joe Burrow; however, the ongoing contract negotiations with wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase warrant close attention. It is reasonable to expect that Chase will participate in the season opener, although uncertainties surrounding contract matters could arise.

The Pick:

New England utilized a significant number of starters during the preseason, which may provide them with a competitive edge. Burrow has been inactive for nearly ten months, and there is uncertainty regarding Chase's condition leading into this game. Consequently, I believe the Patriots have the potential to maintain a close score. While I do not anticipate New England securing a victory, I do think they can manage to stay within the +9 spread.

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Vikings at Giants at 1 PM ET

JJ McCarthy will be sidelined until next year for the Vikings, indicating that this season will focus on rebuilding efforts. With Kirk Cousins departing for the Atlanta Falcons, Minnesota is now looking to Sam Darnold as their starting quarterback. Although Darnold's career has not progressed as anticipated thus far, he is now surrounded by the most talent he has ever had. Justin Jefferson is healthy as the season begins and has expressed his indifference regarding who is throwing the ball, emphasizing his commitment to making receptions. Jordan Addison aims to improve upon his performance from the previous year. The Vikings have also acquired Aaron Jones from the Green Bay Packers. Ty Chandler will serve as the backup running back and is expected to receive a significant number of carries. Tight end TJ Hockenson is currently on the PUP list and will be unavailable for this game. On the defensive side, numerous uncertainties remain, particularly within the secondary. While Harrison Smith and Cam Bynum return, there are still many questions that need to be addressed in that area.

Daniel Jones returns as the starting quarterback for the Giants this season, raising significant questions about his ability to lead the team to greater success. Fortunately for Jones, he has gained a valuable asset in Malik Nabers, who aims to establish himself as one of the premier wide receivers in the NFL. It is highly likely that Jones will frequently target Nabers throughout the season. Additionally, Wan’dale Robinson and Darius Slayton are expected to play crucial roles in the offense. The absence of running back Saquon Barkley will be keenly felt by the team. Devin Singletary has stepped in as the primary running back, but the depth behind him appears to be lacking. On the defensive side, the Giants have made several offseason acquisitions in hopes of strengthening their lineup, including a trade for Brian Burns, recognized as one of the league's top defenders.

The Pick:

There is considerable optimism surrounding Sam Darnold, and he is expected to deliver an outstanding performance in this matchup. Conversely, Daniel Jones is likely to struggle with turnovers, resulting in multiple interceptions. Despite being away from home, the Vikings are anticipated to establish dominance early in the game, ultimately securing a victory by a margin of at least seven points. I am backing the Vikings to cover a -1 spread in this one.

Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Titans at Bears at 1 PM ET

The Titans have opted for a change in leadership on the sidelines, parting ways with Mike Vrabel and appointing Brian Callahan, the offensive coordinator of the Cincinnati Bengals, as their new head coach, marking Callahan's inaugural role as a head coach. This season will also be notable as it is the first since 2016 that Derrick Henry will not be part of the Tennessee Titans. Will Levis assumed control of the Titans' offense from Ryan Tannehill during the previous season, and it appears that Levis will be the starting quarterback this year. To support Levis, the Titans have acquired additional offensive talent, including Calvin Ridley to complement Deandre Hopkins, as well as Tony Pollard to join Tyjae Spears in the backfield. On the defensive side, Kenneth Murray and Ernest Jones have been signed to strengthen the linebacker corps and fortify the Tennessee defense.

The acquisition of Caleb Williams rendered Justin Fields surplus to requirements, leading to his trade. Keenan Allen was acquired from the Chargers, and the addition of DJ Moore significantly enhances the Bears' aerial capabilities. The combination of Khalil Herbert, D’Andre Swift, and Roschon Johnson provides a formidable offensive skill set. On the defensive side, Tremain Edmunds, T.J. Edwards, and Jack Sanborn return to anchor Chicago’s front seven, while Jaylon Johnson and Tyrique Stevenson reinforce the secondary. Montez Sweat aims to maintain consistent pressure along the defensive line for the Bears.

The Pick:

I remain hesitant to embrace the enthusiasm surrounding the Bears at this moment, as it appears that many individuals are rallying behind them due to the current excitement in the Windy City. However, Tennessee possesses several strong components, and I believe Levis demonstrated commendable performance towards the end of the 2023 season, positioning himself as a potential standout quarterback in the league. Therefore, I will opt for Tennessee to cover a +4.5 spread, anticipating a closely contested game that could be decided by a field goal.

Arizona Cardinals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Cardinals at Bills at 1 PM ET

Murray is in good health, or as good as can be expected, given his ongoing susceptibility to injuries. He possesses significant offensive assets, notably Marvin Harrison Jr., who was selected with the fourth overall pick. Harrison has the potential to be a generational talent, and he is likely to be a primary target. While James Connor is currently the starting running back, Trey Benson has the potential to ascend to the top of the depth chart by the conclusion of the season. The Cardinals' defense remains a considerable uncertainty, although it has improved in talent. Darius Robinson, chosen with one of the two first-round picks, is expected to provide a substantial enhancement to a defensive front that struggled last season.

Stefon Diggs has been traded, and Gabe Davis has also been released. In their stead, the team has acquired Curtis Samuel and drafted Keon Coleman. The offensive strategy will still revolve around Josh Allen, who is expected to deliver an outstanding performance this season. The Bills' offensive line is anticipated to be strong, and a significant emphasis on the running game is expected in this matchup. Last season, the Bills' defense had the potential to rank among the league's best, but injuries hindered their performance. Matt Milano, who missed a substantial portion of the previous season due to injury, has returned in good health. Terrel Bernard emerged as a key player during Milano's absence and is poised to have a significant impact on this year's squad. Additionally, Cole Bishop, now in his second year, will assume a starting safety position.

The Pick:

I believe the Cardinals will show improvement this season; however, that progress is unlikely to manifest in this particular game. Despite the absence of Diggs, the Bills' offense is expected to perform effectively. Allen is poised to return to his MVP-caliber play, and while Kyler Murray is likely to have a commendable performance, the Arizona defense may struggle to create any significant stops. The offensive prowess of the Bills will ultimately be the deciding factor in this matchup, leading them to victory. I recommend backing the Bills against the -6 spread in this clash.

Las Vegas Raiders vs LA Chargers Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Raiders at Chargers at 4:05 PM ET

The Las Vegas Raiders concluded the preseason with a record of 0-2-1, starting with a narrow defeat of 24-23 against the Minnesota Vikings in their first game. They subsequently suffered another loss, this time to the Dallas Cowboys, with a score of 27-12, before finishing the preseason with a tie against the San Francisco 49ers, ending at 24-24. For the upcoming game, the Raiders will be led by quarterback Gardner Minshew, who, despite a career marked by transitions, is known for his entertaining style of play. The team boasts a strong lineup of skill position players, including Adams, Meyers, Bowers, and White, which should contribute to a robust offensive performance. On the defensive side, Las Vegas demonstrated commendable performance in 2023 and is expected to show slight improvement this season.

The Los Angeles Chargers ended their preseason with a record of 1-2, beginning with a significant defeat of 16-3 against the Seattle Seahawks in their opening match. In their subsequent game, the Chargers fell to the Los Angeles Rams with a score of 13-9; however, they secured a victory against the Dallas Cowboys, winning 26-19 in their final preseason contest. Justin Herbert is expected to lead the team as the starting quarterback, although he is currently dealing with an injury and his participation in the upcoming game remains uncertain. The Chargers have acquired Gus Edwards in an effort to adopt a more physical playing style this season. While the wide receiver corps in Los Angeles may not inspire confidence, Herbert's abilities provide reassurance that the passing game will perform adequately.

The Pick:

In this matchup, the Raiders possess superior wide receivers; however, Herbert stands out as the more skilled quarterback, provided he is in good health. While I appreciate the notion of Los Angeles increasing their rushing attempts, the question remains whether Harbaugh can transform the team's identity within a single offseason. In the end, I believe Herbert will execute sufficient plays to secure a victory, although the Raiders are likely to maintain a competitive edge. Therefore, I recommend backing Las Vegas at +3 in this one.

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Broncos at Seahawks at 4:05 PM ET

The era of Russell Wilson in Denver has concluded, heralding a new chapter as the Broncos have selected Bo Nix with the 12th overall pick. Following a remarkable preseason, the prospects appear promising for the team at Mile High. Javonte Williams aims for a full recovery after a challenging 2023 season, which was marred by a torn ACL the previous year. Meanwhile, Jaleel McLaughlin serves as a valuable complementary asset in the Broncos' backfield. The team also retains key wide receivers such as Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick. On the defensive side, the departure of Justin Simmons and Kareem Jackson leaves significant gaps to address; however, Cade Sterns and Brandon Jones are anticipated to step up their performance. Patrick Surtain II will return to lead the Broncos' secondary. Additionally, Nik Bonitto and Baron Browning will continue their roles in Denver's pass rush after a combined total of 16.5 sacks last season.

The 2024 season signifies a notable transition for the Seahawks, as it is the first year since 2009 that Pete Carroll will not serve as head coach, having been relieved of his responsibilities. Mike Macdonald will take on the challenge of his inaugural head coaching position in the NFL. The Seahawks retain many familiar faces, including Geno Smith at quarterback, while Sam Howell joins the team following a less-than-successful stint with the Commanders, vying for the starting QB role. In the backfield, Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet form a formidable duo. The receiving corps features a powerful trio with DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. On the defensive side, improvements are needed in Seattle's front seven; however, the addition of Jerome Baker and the return of Uchenna Nwosu is expected to enhance this unit. Devon Witherspoon and Julian Love will also return as significant players in the secondary.

The Pick:

I understand the reasoning behind the low total, and Seattle may not be the ideal location for Bo Nix's regular-season debut. Nevertheless, Nix demonstrated impressive performance during the preseason, showcasing an electrifying Broncos offense. I believe he has the potential to find success against a questionable Seahawks defense. Conversely, Seattle possesses certain offensive strengths that could enable them to challenge the Broncos' defense, potentially allowing us to surpass the total. Go with Over 42.5 points.

Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Commanders at Buccaneers at 4:25 PM ET

Washington commenced their preseason schedule with a game against the New York Jets on August 10, resulting in a 20-17 defeat. The following week, they suffered another loss to the Dolphins, with a score of 13-6. However, the Commanders concluded their exhibition season on a positive note, securing a 20-10 victory against the New England Patriots.

The Buccaneers demonstrated a solid performance during the preseason, as evidenced by their results. They secured a 17-14 victory against the Bengals in their first game, although they experienced a setback with a 20-7 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in the second match. Nevertheless, they concluded the exhibition series on a positive note with a 24-14 triumph over the Dolphins.

The Pick:

Baker Mayfield, who recorded 4,044 passing yards and 28 touchdown passes last season, leads the offense for the Buccaneers. However, there are significant concerns regarding the running game. Tampa Bay ranked last in the NFL in both total rushing yards and yards per attempt last year. If the Buccaneers can improve this facet of their offense, it will yield benefits for the entire team. Meanwhile, the Commanders find themselves starting anew as they aim to develop into a competitive team. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is expected to experience some challenges early on as the team navigates through difficulties, but the experience gained in his inaugural NFL season will be crucial. On the defensive side, Washington is unlikely to perform as poorly as they did last season, yet substantial improvements are necessary. Tampa Bay is expected to maintain control in this opening matchup. Back the Bucs at -4.5.

Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Cowboys at Browns at 4:25 PM ET

The Dallas Cowboys closed their preseason with a record of 1-2, beginning with a narrow defeat of 13-12 against the Rams. They rebounded in their second matchup, securing a 27-12 victory over the Raiders, but ultimately fell to the Chargers, losing 26-19 in their final game. This season, Dak Prescott will return as the starting quarterback, following a commendable performance in 2023. However, the Cowboys will be relying on Ezekiel Elliott as their running back, which represents a decline compared to the previous season. Fortunately, the team has resolved CeeDee Lamb's contract issues, allowing him and Brandin Cooks to serve as the primary wide receivers.

The Cleveland Browns ended their preseason with a record of 0-3, starting with a 23-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers. In their second matchup, they faced the Minnesota Vikings, suffering a loss with a score of 27-12, and concluded the preseason with a narrow defeat of 37-33 against the Seattle Seahawks. Deshaun Watson is set to lead the team as the starting quarterback, and his performance this season is crucial for Cleveland's aspirations to return to the playoffs. The Browns are expected to adopt a committee approach for the running back position due to Chubb's ongoing absence. While the receiving corps appears to be strong, the key concern remains whether Watson can consistently connect with open receivers.

The Pick:

The Cowboys secured the NFC East title last season; however, they faced a humiliating defeat at home during their only playoff appearance. Meanwhile, Cleveland managed to reach the playoffs despite numerous injuries, and they are anticipating a significant performance from Watson this year. This matchup promises to be quite competitive, yet I remain unconvinced about Watson's capabilities. I am aware that Dallas' offense is expected to excel once more this season, and I will favor them to cover a +2.5 spread in this matchup.

LA Rams vs Detroit Lions Prediction NFL Picks 9/8/24

Rams at Lions at 8:20 PM ET

The Rams experienced a significant setback with the retirement of Aaron Donald; however, the remainder of the team possesses genuine potential for a playoff run. Matthew Stafford, at 36 years of age, remains an above-average quarterback, and he will benefit from a full season alongside Cooper Kupp. Puka Nacua is coming off an outstanding rookie season, having amassed nearly 1,500 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Kyren Williams also had a productive season, surpassing 1,000 rushing yards, while rookie Blake Corum enhanced the depth at the running back position. Although Allen is no longer with the team, the acquisitions of Tre’Davious White and Darious Williams create a formidable cornerback tandem. Additionally, Jared Verse, a talented pass rusher, has the potential to fill the gap left by Allen's departure.

Over the past two seasons, Jared Goff has demonstrated exceptional performance, supported by a strong offensive line featuring Penei Sewell and Taylor Decker. Amon-Ra St. Brown has rapidly emerged as a significant threat at the wide receiver position, while Sam LaPorta would likely have secured the Rookie of the Year title were it not for C.J. Stroud's outstanding performance. On the defensive side, the Lions faced challenges last season; however, the addition of Terrion Arnold and Ennis Rakestraw through the draft is expected to enhance the secondary. Although there are some concerns regarding the linebacker position, the defensive line boasts talents such as Aidan Hutchinson, who has accumulated 21 sacks over two seasons, and Marcus Davenport, who previously showcased his potential with the Saints.

The Pick:

The over has been achieved in 7 of the last 10 games played by the Lions. Both the Rams and Lions share characteristics, particularly in their explosive offenses, while their defenses raise some concerns. What will the Rams' defensive line look like in the absence of Allen? To what extent have the Lions enhanced a defense that previously ranked 23rd in points allowed and 19th in yards? Given the fast-paced environment and the Sunday night setting, we can anticipate a high-scoring game. Rather than focusing on the line, I will opt for the Over 51.5 points.

New York Jets vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction NFL Picks 9/9/24

Jets at 49ers at 8:15 PM ET

Rodgers has returned with approval, accompanied by emerging talents such as Breece Hall in the Jets' backfield and Garrett Wilson among the receiving options. On the defensive side, C.J. Mosley and Quincy Williams form a formidable duo of star linebackers, supported by a defensive line led by Quinnen Williams and the newly acquired Javon Kinlaw. The secondary is spearheaded by Sauce Gardner, who is widely regarded as one of the premier cornerbacks in the NFL at present.

Brock Purdy has resumed his position as the starting quarterback for the 49ers, while Christian McCaffrey takes charge of the backfield once more, establishing himself as one of the most versatile running backs in the NFL. The 49ers successfully secured a long-term contract for Brandon Aiyuk, and Deebo Samuel is back in action, joining George Kittle at tight end to form a formidable receiving corps. On the defensive side, Nick Bosa spearheads the pass rush, with Fred Warner serving as the cornerstone of the linebacker unit.

The Pick:

It will be intriguing to observe how the 49ers approach the Jets' defense, which many analysts regard as one of the stronger yet underrated units in the NFL. Nevertheless, the 49ers possess a more established track record. Although the Jets have considerable talent, I am eager to see Aaron Rodgers' performance in his initial game back before fully committing to the Jets' prospects. This matchup promises to be exciting, but I favor the 49ers by a touchdown. Back the hosts at -4.