Billie Jean King Cup Prediction: Ukraine vs Italy
September 19, 2025 at 05:00 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Ukraine -120 / Italy -120
Ukraine will face defending champions Italy in the semifinals of the 2025 Billie Jean King Cup. The tie is scheduled for Friday, September 19. Here’s our Ukraine vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup prediction. This preview will also include a Ukraine vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup pick.
Ukraine vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup Preview
Ukraine downed Spain to reach the last four of the 2025 Billie Jean King Cup. They completed a sweep of both singles matches over the Spaniards. Marta Kostyuk put them in front with a commanding 7-6, 6-2 victory over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in an hour and 47 minutes. Kostyuk hit four aces and one double fault in the match. She landed 70% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (33/42). Kostyuk won 28% of second serve points (5/18) and saved two of five break points.
In the second rubber, Elina Svitolina beat World No. 20 Paula Badosa in three sets in two hours and nine minutes. The match took 32 games to decide. Svitolina hit three aces and three double faults. She landed 63% of first serves in play and won 76% of first serve points (42/55). Svitolina won 52% of second serve points (17/33) and saved one of four break points. Ukraine had never reached the semifinal of this competition before this week and can continue this history-making run by advancing to their first final.
Holders Italy saw off tournament hosts China in the quarterfinals in the opening tie of this year’s Billie Jean King Cup Finals. Elisabetta Cocciaretto won the first rubber against Yuan Yue in three sets. Cocciaretto recovered from a set and a break to beat Yue 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 in nearly three hours.
Then it was Italy’s star player, Jasmine Paolini, who confirmed the win. She was also taken the distance by Xinyu Wang. Paolini trailed 4-6, 3-5, but turned the match around to win 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 in two hours and 53 minutes. Paolini saved five of 11 break points in the match.
Ukraine vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup Head-To-Head
Ukraine and Italy have met in this competition four times in the past. Italy holds a 100% winning record and defeated Ukraine 3-2 in their last meeting in 2012 in the World Group stage.
Ukraine vs Italy Billie Jean King Cup Prediction
I’m backing the Ukrainians here. They can seize this moment and make history. Italy looked underwhelming for the most part in beating China, who could have completed a clean sweep of their own had each of Yuan and Wang held serve when it counted. With the experience of Kostyuk and Svitolina, I don’t see Italy getting away with another poor display.