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Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Prediction 7/31/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Jul 29, 2026; Washington, D.C., USA; Taylor Fritz (USA) hits a forehand against Kamil Majchrzak (POL) (not pictured) on day three of the 2026 Mubadala DC Open at Rock Creek Park Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Jul 29, 2026; Washington, D.C., USA; Taylor Fritz (USA) hits a forehand against Kamil Majchrzak (POL) (not pictured) on day three of the 2026 Mubadala DC Open at Rock Creek Park Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Washington Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen

10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Taylor Fritz -227 / Alex Michelsen +170

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Taylor Fritz faces fellow American Alex Michelsen in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Washington Open. This will be their second meeting of the season. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen prediction. This preview will include a Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen pick.

Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Preview

Taylor Fritz is coming off a straight-sets win over Kamil Majchrzak in the round of 16 at the Washington Open. Fritz won the first set 6-3 in 35 minutes, after garnering an early break for 2-0, and he consolidated throughout. The second set also featured one break of serve and Fritz put pressure on the Pole in the fifth game to secure the decisive break.

Fritz wrapped up a 6-3, 6-4 win in an hour and 17 minutes. In the victory, Fritz hit 14 aces and 3 double faults. Fritz landed 66% of first serves in play and won 90% of first serve points (28/31). Fritz won 75% of second serve points (12/16) and did not face a break point in the whole match. Before this match, Fritz earned a straight sets win by the same score against Zizou Bergs. He improves to 25-13 for the season and will seek to reach the semifinal in Washington, D.C. for the second time.

Alex Michelsen reached his second career quarterfinal at the Washington Open. The big-hitting American beat France’s Adrian Mannarino in straight sets. The match took 23 games to decide. Michelsen recovered from a slow start to win 6-4, 7-6 in just under two hours.

In the victory, Michelsen hit 11 aces and 3 double faults. Michelsen landed 55% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (34/43). Michelsen won 60% of second serve points (21/35) and saved 7 of 8 break points on his serve. Before this round, Michelsen opened the tournament with a 6-4, 7-5 victory against lucky loser Mackenzie McDonald. This is his second quarterfinal in Washington, having fallen in the same stage in 2024. Michelsen is now on a 7-match winning streak after winning the Bloomfield Hills Challenger. He’s won 10 of his last 11 matches since Wimbledon.

Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Head-To-Head

Michelsen owns a 2-0 lead over Taylor Fritz in the head-to-head. Their most recent match was at the Indian Wells Masters this season. Michelsen won 6-4, 7-6.

Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Much has been said about the conditions favoring the flat hitters with the ball zipping through the court, and this should be a close match without too many breaks. That said, I fancy the upset in the form Michelsen is in right now, having won 10 of his last 11 matches. Moreover, Michelsen matches up exceptionally well against Fritz (2-0 in the head-to-head). If he serves at a high percentage and continues to attack Fritz’s second serve, I think this is a live upset opportunity.

Nur Said's Pick: Michelsen in three sets

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