ATP Finals Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur
November 14, 2024 at 08:30 AM EST
The Line: Taylor Fritz -232 / Alex de Minaur +181
Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minaur meet in the group stage of the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, Italy. The match is scheduled for Thursday, November 14, 2024. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur prediction. This article will also contain a Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur pick.
Taylor Fritz Preview
Taylor Fritz is coming off a straight-sets loss to Jannik Sinner.
In the loss, Fritz hit seven aces and landed 59% first serves.
The American won 79% of first-serve points (30/38) but only 38% of second-serve points (10/26).
Fritz was broken once in each set during the match.
Despite the defeat, Fritz can still qualify for the semifinals, having already won one group match.
Alex de Minaur Preview
For the second match in a row, Alex de Minaur finished on the losing end.
The Australian, making his debut appearance at the ATP Finals, fell to Daniil Medvedev in straight sets.
The match took 18 games to decide and lasted an hour and 20 minutes.
In the defeat, de Minaur landed 68% of first serves and won 57% of first serve points (24/42).
De Minaur won 65% of second-serve points (13/20). He dropped his serve three times.
Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur Head-To-Head
• Alex de Minaur leads Taylor Fritz 6-3 in their head-to-head.
• They haven’t played each other since the opening week of the season. De Minaur defeated Fritz in a singles rubber at the United Cup.
Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur Prediction
Despite losing two matches in the group, Alex de Minaur still has a mathematical chance of squeaking into the semifinal. He’ll need to beat Fritz in straight sets and hope Sinner will do the same against Medvedev in the primetime match on Thursday.
It is not beyond the realms of possibility that he can still get out of the group. But I feel he came into the tournament underprepared. He wasn’t even sure he would play until Djokovic’s withdrawal earned him a spot in the top eight. So, the safe pick is to take Fritz in the money line, whose chances of qualification are slightly more straightforward.