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Shanghai Prediction: Tien vs Norrie 10/6/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Aug 24, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA;  Learner Tien (USA) after a winner against Novak Djokovic (SRB) on day one of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Aug 24, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Learner Tien (USA) after a winner against Novak Djokovic (SRB) on day one of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Shanghai Masters Prediction: Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie

October 6, 2025 at 02:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Learner Tien -133 / Cameron Norrie +105

(Get latest betting odds)

Learner Tien will face the 30th seed Cameron Norrie in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters on Monday, October 6. Here’s our Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie prediction. This preview will also include a Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie pick.

Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Preview

Learner Tien is coming off a second-round win over fellow lefty Corentin Moutet at the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match took 30 games to decide with identical sets of 10 games each. Moutet won the first set 6-4 in 52 minutes, saving three of four break points.

But Tien leveled, taking precisely 52 minutes to win the second set 6-4 after breaking Moutet at least three times. In the third set, Tien recovered from an early break and a 1-3 deficit to win the set 6-4. Tien hit 2 aces and 4 double faults in the victory. He landed 67% of first serves in play and won 61% of first serve points (33/54). Tien won 52% of second serve points (14/27) and saved two of seven break points.

Cameron Norrie is the 30th seed in Shanghai, making his third main draw appearance in the tournament. Norrie received a bye in the first round. He also took out a Frenchman in his second round match, beating Arthur Cazaux in three sets. The match took 28 games to decide.

Norrie won the first set 6-3 after 33 minutes, breaking Cazaux’s serve twice. However, the Briton’s level dipped in the second set, where he could hardly put a game on the board and Cazaux delivered a bagel set to level the match. Both players held in all 12 games of the third set to force a deciding tiebreak and Norrie had clear daylight when he took his chance at an early mini break to win the breaker 7-5.

Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Head-To-Head

Tien and Norrie have played twice on the ATP Tour, both meetings taking place in 2025. Norrie won their first in Hong Kong in straight sets. Tien got his revenge in Acapulco.

Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

I can’t look past Tien here after a fantastic start to the Asian swing. A finalist in Beijing, and he’s carried that momentum to Shanghai with two comeback wins, proving he’s not fatigued as many might have thought, and he knows he can get his ranking inside the top 30 after this tournament, so he won’t be short of motivation.

Nur Said's Pick: Learner Tien in three sets

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