Shanghai Prediction: Medvedev vs Tien 10/8/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

16th seed Daniil Medvedev will face American Next Gen star Learner Tien in the fourth round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, October 8. Here’s our Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien prediction. This preview will also include a Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien pick.

Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Preview

For the second tournament in a row, Daniil Medvedev beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in straight sets to progress. The match took 22 games to decide and lasted an hour and 52 minutes. Medvedev won the first set 6-3, although he needed eight set points to clinch it after getting the only break of serve in the second game of the match.

Medvedev and Davidovich Fokina held in all 12 games of the second set, but it was the 16th seed who established clear daylight in the tiebreak, winning it 7-5. Medvedev hit 9 aces and 1 double fault in the victory. He landed 57% of first serves in play and won 94% of first serve points (33/35). Medvedev won 58% of second serve points (15/26) and saved one break point in the match.

Learner Tien is playing in Shanghai for the first time and the American left-hander progressed into the fourth round stage with three wins. Tien beat Miomir Kecmanovic 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 in two hours and 7 minutes in the opening round. Tien secured another comeback win against fellow lefty Corentin Moutet in the second round, winning 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in two hours and 38 minutes.

In the third round, Tien defeated Cameron Norrie for the second time this season, 7-6, 6-3 in an hour and 48 minutes. In the victory, Tien hit 4 aces and 4 double faults. He landed 62% of first serves in play and won 74% of first serve points (34/46). Tien won 46% of second serve points (13/28) and saved eight of 10 break points.

Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Head-To-Head

Medvedev and Tien have played twice in 2025. Tien won an epic five-set match at the Australian Open and was leading Medvedev 4-0 in the deciding set of their semifinal match in Beijing.

Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Prediction

It appeared that Medvedev would solve Tien’s puzzle in Beijing and he served for the match in that chaotic semifinal match, only to capitulate at a crucial moment, and he never quite recovered physically to complete the match. Tien’s belief will soar. He has a positive record against top 20 players over the past year, and with Medvedev in his current state this season, you are never quite sure what you will get.