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Shanghai Prediction: Djokovic vs Hanfmann 10/5/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Aug 31, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA;  
Novak Djokovic (SRB) after beating Jan-Lennard Struff (GER) (not pictured) on day eight of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Aug 31, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Novak Djokovic (SRB) after beating Jan-Lennard Struff (GER) (not pictured) on day eight of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Shanghai Masters Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann

October 5, 2025 at 04:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Novak Djokovic -1000 / Yannick Hanfmann +600

(Get latest betting odds)

Fourth seed Novak Djokovic will face German qualifier Yannick Hanfmann in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters. The match is scheduled for Sunday, October 5. Here’s our Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann prediction. This preview will also include a Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann pick.

Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann Preview

Djokovic is the 4th seed in Shanghai making his 11th main draw appearance. He is a four-time champion and was the runner-up last season. Djokovic has not lost before the quarterfinals in Shanghai before and kicked off his 2025 bid for a record-extending 5th title with a straight sets win over Croatia’s Marin Cilic.

Djokovic saved two crucial break points in the first set to hold for 6-5 and then prevailed in the tiebreak after an hour and 8 minutes. The Serbian broke for the first time in the third game of the second set and did not lose that lead for the remainder of the match, eventually wrapping up a 7-6, 6-4 win in an hour and 55 minutes.

Djokovic hit 10 aces and 2 double faults in the victory. He landed 68% of first serves in play and won 84% of first serve points (42/50). Djokovic won 57% of second serve points (13/23) and saved all four break points he faced in the match. The win was his 20th in 22 matches against Cilic.

Yannick Hanfmann has overcome the odds to make the third round of the Shanghai Masters for the first time. The German won two qualifying matches at the start of the week and then defeated Lorenzo Sonego from a set down in the first round of the main draw.

Hanfmann proved that win was no fluke and upset 25th seed Frances Tiafoe in another dramatic three-setter. Hanfmann lost the first set in a tiebreak 11-9 after over an hour despite holding at least two set points. But he did not let that moment affect his comeback and thoroughly outplayed Tiafoe in the next two sets in which he lost only three games. He hit 21 aces in total to only 3 double faults. He won 71% of first serve points (50/70) and saved one of three break points.

Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann Head-To-Head

Djokovic and Hanfmann have played once on the ATP Tour. Djokovic beat the German in straight sets at the 2024 Geneva Open.

Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann Prediction

Djokovic has an outstanding record in Shanghai of having never lost before the quarters and he’s won more titles in this tournament than anybody else. Hanfmann, while brilliant from qualifying up to this stage, will face an insurmountable challenge here and I don’t see him going any further in the tournament.

Nur Said's Pick: Novak Djokovic in straight sets

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