Macau Exhibition Prediction: Juncheng Shang vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
01:00 AM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Juncheng Shang +127 / Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -156
Juncheng Shang vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Preview
Juncheng Shang played just 10 matches in the whole of 2025, finishing with three wins and 7 losses. The Chinese lefty struggled with a foot injury for almost seven months and was out of action between mid-February and late August to undergo surgery.
He lost three matches in a row upon his return and failed to defend his title in Chengdu. His lack of matches and results cost him a top 100 spot, and although he did finish the season with a respectable third round finish in Shanghai, Shang fell outside the top 200 in the year-end rankings.
Shang played two matches at the UTR Tour, where he beat Richard Gasquet and lost to Jenson Brooksby. As he prepares to go into the 2026 season, hopefully injury-free, he will get some matches at this high-profile exhibition in his home nation.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is coming off a productive 2025 season where he played 69 tour-level matches. Davidovich Fokina compiled 44 wins and 25 losses. That translated to a 63.8% win rate. It is the highest ever in a single season in his career.
Davidovich Fokina played in four finals, but finished runner-up each time. His most painful loss was the Delray Open final, where he had multiple match points against Miomir Kecmanovic but could not bag his first ATP title. Aside from that, the Spaniard made the fourth round of the Australian Open and the semifinals of the Monte Carlo Masters. Davidovich Fokina finished the season ranked 14th, his best-ever ranking.
Juncheng Shang vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-To-Head
Davidovich Fokina leads Shang 3-0 in their head-to-head.
Juncheng Shang vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Shang and Davidovich Fokina dealt with heartbreak for very different reasons. Shang was in constant pain because of a foot injury and needed surgery before he could go back to playing his best tennis. Davidovich Fokina lost four finals, and the wait for his first ATP title continues. This match should at least be a good head start for both before the new season begins. I’d back Davidovich Fokina here, who is just more comfortable at absorbing pace and has more disciplined lefty patterns that stretch and rush opponents.

