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Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti Prediction – ATP Marrakech Final Pick

Jul 31, 2024; Paris, France; A tennis ball sits on the clay courts during the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games at Stade Roland Garros. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Jul 31, 2024; Paris, France; A tennis ball sits on the clay courts during the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games at Stade Roland Garros. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

ATP Marrakech Prediction: Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti

10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Rafael Jodar -455 / Marco Trungelliti +285

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Next Gen star Rafael Jodar faces 36-year-old veteran Marco Trungelliti in the final of the 2026 ATP Marrakech Open. The match is scheduled for Sunday, April 4. Here’s our Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti prediction. This preview will also include a Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti pick.

Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti Preview

Rafael Jodar reached his first ATP Tour level final thanks to an accomplished straight sets victory over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the semifinals. The match took 15 games to decide and lasted 64 minutes. Jodar hit 23 winners and 17 unforced errors in the win. He won 70% of first serve points (26/37) and converted four out of eight break points on the return.

Before this round, Jodar beat Dusan Lajovic, Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller. Jodar has lost just one set en route to the final and that was in the last 16 match against fourth-seeded Machac. Jodar will play in his first ATP final. He is a three-time champion on the ATP Challenger Tour, but none of those trophies came on clay.

We are guaranteed a first-time champion on the ATP Tour this Sunday in Marrakech after Marco Trungelliti stretched his winning streak to 11 matches. Trungelliti’s stay in Africa has been a massive success story. He won the Kigali 2 Challenger in Rwanda last month and entered the qualifying round in Marrakech a few weeks later. 

The Argentine veteran didn’t carry sky-high expectations but was determined to make the most of the form he was in. And he did that after battling two rounds of qualifying to reach the main draw. Trungelliti didn’t stop winning and delivered a statement win in the semifinals when he knocked out top seed Luciano Darderi. He is now guaranteed to break the Top 100 of the ATP rankings for the first time and at 36, he will be the oldest Top 100 debutant in half a century. He is also the oldest first-time ATP finalist.

Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti Head-To-Head

Jodar and Trungelliti have never met at any level, so this will be their first career meeting.

Rafael Jodar vs Marco Trungelliti Prediction

Trungelliti is having an incredible week in Marrakech and refuses to fade. And at 36, this is a golden chance that in all probability won’t present itself frequently for the remainder of his career. Five of his six wins this week have been in straight sets, but they’ve hardly been routine and the question now is whether he has enough left in the tank to outmaneuver an energetic and fresh opponent one more time.

Jodar is 19, hugely talented and brings enormous power off both wings. He’ll serve big, take initiative if he has to, and chase down the drop shots that Trungelliti has caught most by surprise during this history-making run. In the end, while Trungelliti’s run has been a brilliant story, I think he’ll come up short.

Nur Said's Pick: Rafael Jodar in three sets

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