Paris Prediction: Khachanov vs Fonseca 10/29/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Number 10 seed Karen Khachanov will face World No. 28 Joao Fonseca in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters on Wednesday, October 29. Here’s our Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca prediction. This preview will also include a Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca pick.

Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Preview

Karen Khachanov got his tournament underway with a straight-sets win against American qualifier Ethan Quinn. Khachanov needed an hour to power past Quinn 6-1, 6-1 and advance to the second round at the Paris Masters. In the victory, Khachanov hit 2 aces and did not account for a double fault.

Khachanov landed 64% of first serves in play and won 76% of first serve points (19/25). He won 71% of second serve points (10/14) and did not face a break point in the match. The win ends Khachanov’s five-match losing streak dating back to the first round of the US Open when he last beat Nishesh Basavareddy.

Joao Fonseca extended his winning streak to five matches. The Basel champion upset Denis Shapovalov in three sets to win on his debut at the Paris Masters. The match took 31 games to decide. Fonseca prevailed 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 in two hours and 6 minutes.

Fonseca hit 2 aces and 2 double faults in the victory. He landed 72% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (53/69). Fonseca won 44% of second serve points (12/27) and saved five of seven break points. Fonseca is sitting at a career-high ranking of No. 28 after winning his first ATP 500 title in Basel last weekend and can aim higher this week.

Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Head-To-Head

Khachanov and Fonseca have never met before this.

Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

There’s decent value backing Fonseca, who looked electric and sharp in powering past Shapovalov. I don’t think Khachanov is out of the mire yet despite an emphatic win in his opening match. He had lost five in a row prior to that, and he’s coming up against one of the tour’s most promising talents and in-form players. Pound for pound, Fonseca’s ground strokes are just as powerful as Khachanov’s and the Brazilian’s shot tolerance is gradually improving.