ATP Miami Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian Korda
March 26, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Novak Djokovic / Sebastian Korda
Novak Djokovic and Sebastian Korda clash in the quarterfinal of the 2025 ATP Miami Open on Wednesday, March 26, 2025. Here’s our Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian Korda prediction. This preview will also include a Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian Korda pick.
Novak Djokovic Preview
Novak Djokovic reached his first quarterfinal in Miami since 2016 – the year he won his sixth title at the event. Djokovic extended his near-perfect record over Lorenzo Musetti, picking up his eighth victory in nine head-to-head meetings against the Italian.
The match took 16 games to decide. Djokovic prevailed 6-2, 6-2 in an hour and 23 minutes. In the victory, Djokovic fired 18 winners and 17 unforced errors including one ace and one double fault. Djokovic landed 70% of first serves in play and won 75% of first serve points (24/32).
The fourth seed tallied 57% of second serve points (8/14) and got broken only once. Djokovic compiled 54% of return points (30/56) and converted five of 12 break points in the match.
This was Djokovic’s 10th win in 14 matches this year. He is chasing a 100th career title this week.
Sebastian Korda Preview
Sebastian Korda beat Gael Monfils in a rain-interrupted match to reach his second Miami quarterfinal. The big-serving American closed out a 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 victory in just under two hours. In the win, Korda compiled 11 winners and 20 unforced errors including six aces and three double faults.
Korda landed 62% of first serves in play and won 80% of first serve points (39/49). The 24th seed won 40% of second serve points (12/30) and saved one of three break points. Korda won 34% of return points (28/83) and broke Monfils twice in the match.
Korda improves to 6-4 for the season. This is his first quarterfinal since January when he made the Adelaide final.
Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian Korda Head-To-Head
• Djokovic and Korda have met once on the ATP Tour.
• The Serbian saved a championship point to beat Korda in the 2023 Adelaide final.
Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian Korda Prediction
I’m going with Korda set handicap here, potentially taking a tie-break or a close 7-5 set. I would rule out an outright Korda win just because Djokovic is playing very well this tournament and his level keeps getting better with each round. Maybe he sees this as a priceless opportunity to lift that 100th career title with just three more wins required. Still, expect Korda to fight right to the wire.