Madison Keys vs Elina Svitolina Prediction 1/22/25 Australian Open Tennis Picks

Madison Keys and Elina Svitolina meet in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Australian Open on Wednesday, January 22, 2025. Here’s our Madison Keys vs Elina Svitolina prediction. This preview also includes a Madison Keys vs Elina Svitolina pick.

Madison Keys Preview

Madison Keys notched her 11th win of the season by beating World No. 7 Elena Rybakina in three sets. The match took 25 games to decide and lasted an hour and 50 minutes.

Keys hit 27 winners and 31 unforced errors including four aces and six double faults. She landed 70% of first serves and 61% of first serve points (38/62).

Keys won 48% of second serve points (13/27) and saved nine of 13 break points. She won 44% of return points (37/85) and converted five of nine break points.

This is her first appearance in the quarterfinal in Melbourne since 2022. Keys is nearing close to a perfect Australian summer, having won a title in Adelaide two weeks ago.

Elina Svitolina Preview

Elina Svitolina extended her good run over Russian players. She defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the fourth round in straight sets. 

The match took 17 games to decide and lasted 80 minutes. In the victory, Svitolina hit 15 aces and 14 unforced errors. She tallied five aces and three double faults.

Svitolina landed 62% of first serves and won 67% of first serve points (22/33). She won 55% of second serve points (11/20) and saved one of three break points on her serve.

Svitolina won 53% of return points (26/49) and 64% of net points (7/11). She converted five of nine break points.

Svitolina improves to 4-0 in 2025 and it is the third time she has reached the quarterfinal of the Australian Open.

The former World No. 3 has lost in the previous two quarterfinals.

Madison Keys vs Elina Svitolina Head-To-Head

• Keys and Svitolina have met five times on the WTA Tour.

• Keys leads Svitolina 3-2 in the head-to-head with all five meetings taking place on hard courts.

• The Ukrainian won this fixture when they met at the 2019 Australian Open in three sets.

• Keys won their last meeting at the 2022 Adelaide International in straight sets.

Madison Keys vs Elina Svitolina Prediction

At this stage of a Grand Slam, very subtle moments decide the outcome. So, a shot or two can very much be decisive. Keys did not serve impeccably as she might have liked in the win over Rybakina. At the same time, Svitolina relishes taming big hitters thanks to her strong counterpunching skills.

The Ukrainian will get most of the balls back in play if Keys’ serve is not functioning at above-average levels. If Svitolina turns this into a war of attrition from the baseline then I expect her to win the majority of points beyond five or more shots. That said, taking the games spread of at least 22 games here is the less risky move and leaving the winner up to chance.