Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala Prediction 7/6/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Jasmine Paolini faces Alexandra Eala in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon on Monday, July 6th. Paolini is looking to reach the fourth round for the second time, while Eala bids to extend her second-week stay in London. Here’s our Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala prediction. This preview will include a Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala pick.

Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala Preview

Jasmine Paolini easily dispatched Maria Sakkari in straight sets in the third round of Wimbledon. The match took 15 games to decide. Paolini won 6-1, 6-2 in an hour and 7 minutes. In the victory, she hit 11 winners and 9 unforced errors. Paolini benefited from 23 unforced errors that came off Sakkari’s racket.

Paolini landed 71% of first serves in play and won 84% of first serve points (27/32). Paolini won 54% of second serve points (7/13) and saved both break points she faced on serve. Paolini won 83% of net points during the match (10/12). Paolini has won back-to-back matches for the first time since Indian Wells. The Italian is a former Wimbledon finalist (2024).

Alexandra Eala pulled off the biggest shock of the tournament so far at Wimbledon. She knocked out defending champion Iga Swiatek in straight sets. Eala recovered from a break down in the opening set and saved two set points to win a thrilling tiebreak 11-9. The Filipina outplayed Swiatek for most of the second set and after a very long eighth game, she sealed victory 7-6, 6-2 in two hours and 15 minutes, marking the second time she’s beaten Swiatek on tour.

In the victory, Eala hit 24 winners and 21 unforced errors. She fired 4 aces and did not account for a single double fault. Eala landed 62% of first serves in play and won 57% of first serve points (36/63). Eala won 55% of second serve points (21/38) and saved eight of 11 break points on her serve. This is the first time she’s reached the second week in a Grand Slam.

Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala Head-To-Head

Paolini and Eala have faced off once at the WTA level. Eala beat the then defending champion Paolini in Dubai earlier this year.

Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala Prediction

Look, I get the temptation to ride the Alexandra Eala wave in this one after that colossal performance and result against Iga Swiatek. But I think Paolini is getting less respect from the markets. And what has been forgotten amid the excitement surrounding Eala’s breakout week is just how well Paolini has played herself at this year’s Wimbledon, surviving that tough opener against an in-form Montgomery before delivering authoritative displays in her last two matches. The Italian’s confidence on grass appears to be building at precisely the right time. I’ll side with the former finalist.

Nur Said's Pick: Paolini in three sets