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Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Prediction 5/13/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Mar 25, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Jessica Pegula (USA) reaches for a forehand against Elena Rybakina (KAZ) (not pictured) on day nine of the 2026 Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Mar 25, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Jessica Pegula (USA) reaches for a forehand against Elena Rybakina (KAZ) (not pictured) on day nine of the 2026 Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Rome Masters Prediction: Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula

07:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Iga Swiatek -270 / Jessica Pegula +206

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Iga Swiatek will face Jessica Pegula in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Italian Open. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, May 13. Here’s our Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula prediction. This preview will also include an Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula pick.

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Preview

Iga Swiatek defeated Naomi Osaka in straight sets to reach the Rome Masters quarterfinals. The Pole cruised past the Japanese 6-2, 6-1 in a one-sided match. Unlike their French Open meeting from a couple of years ago, this one wasn’t close as Swiatek ran riot. Swiatek took the first set in 46 minutes. And the second set lasted 36 minutes.

In the victory, Swiatek hit 3 aces and 1 double fault. She landed 67% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (21/31). Swiatek won 67% of second serve points (10/15) and saved two of three break points. Swiatek returns to the Rome quarterfinals after a year’s absence. She won the title back in 2024. Swiatek improves to 5-2 on clay this season.

Jessica Pegula beat Anastasia Potapova in straight sets to reach the Rome quarterfinals for the second time in her career. The match took 21 games to decide. Pegula prevailed 7-6, 6-2 in an hour and 4 minutes. In the victory, Pegula recorded 3 aces and 2 double faults. Pegula landed 69% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (33/48). She won 50% of second serve points (11/22) and saved three of six break points in the match.

Pegula has not dropped a set and, before this round, had beaten Zeynep Sonmez 6-4, 6-0 and registered her first career double bagel victory against Rebeka Masarova in the third round. Pegula owns a 9-1 record on clay. She won the title in Charleston and her only defeat this swing was to Marta Kostyuk in Madrid.

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Head-To-Head

Swiatek and Pegula have played 11 times at all levels. Swiatek leads 6-5 in the head-to-head, but Pegula has taken their last two meetings in straight sets. On clay, they faced off at the 2022 French Open and Swiatek won in straight sets.

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

I’m going with the games here with the potential of a three-set match. Pegula is playing some of the best clay-court tennis of her career. But Swiatek’s display against Osaka resembled the Swiatek of old, as she took control of rallies. Clay is still her playground and I think she edges this.

Nur Said's Pick: Over 20.5 games in the match

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