Gauff vs Bencic Beijing Prediction 9/30/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

World No. 3 Coco Gauff will face World No. 16 Belinda Bencic in the fourth round of the 2025 China Open in Beijing. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, September 30. Here’s our Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic prediction. This preview will also include a Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic pick.

Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic Preview

Coco Gauff survived a stern challenge from Leylah Fernandez in the third round in a near three-hour match. Gauff won in three sets in a match that took 32 games to decide. The American took the first set 6-4, featuring three breaks of serve, with two going Gauff’s way.

Fernandez rallied from a break down in the second set and broke Gauff twice to level the match at one-set apiece. Gauff appeared in cruise control when she broke Fernandez’s serve four times to lead 5-2 in the third set, but could not serve out the match in her first two attempts with some costly double-faults. But the second seed broke again and on her third attempt served out for the match after a tense rally.

Belinda Bencic reached the fourth round in Beijing for a fourth time in her career. Bencic beat Australian qualifier Priscilla Hon in three sets in two hours and 27 minutes. Hon, who had stunned Jelena Ostapenko earlier in the tournament, surprisingly clinched the first set 6-4 in 48 minutes.

The Aussie had the match on her racket and was three games away from another shock win when she led 3-1 in the second set. But Bencic won five of the next six games to steal the set and level the match. And Bencic carried the momentum into the decider, where she got the early break to lead 3-0, and that proved sufficient to close out the match 6-3.

Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic Head-To-Head

Gauff leads Bencic 3-2 in the head-to-head. They have played three times in 2025, and Gauff won at the Australian Open and Madrid. Bencic’s win was at Indian Wells.

Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic Prediction

I’m backing Bencic to get her second hard-court win over Gauff this season. Gauff’s serve still looks shaky and error-prone, and if Bencic can put enough pressure (which she is capable of as one of the most aggressive returners on tour), then it’s almost inevitable at this point that the double faults will start creeping in and could frustrate Coco, who, in truth, is having an underwhelming second half of the season.