Basel Prediction: Ruud vs Wawrinka 10/23/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Fourth seed Casper Ruud will face wild card Stan Wawrinka in the second round of the 2025 Swiss Indoors in Basel. The match is scheduled for Thursday, October 23. Here’s our Casper Ruud vs Stan Wawrinka prediction. This preview will also include a Casper Ruud vs Stan Wawrinka pick.

Casper Ruud vs Stan Wawrinka Preview

Casper Ruud kicked off the tournament in Basel with a straight-sets victory over lucky loser Quentin Halys. The match took 20 games to decide and lasted an hour and 16 minutes. Ruud clinched the first set 6-1 in 23 minutes, breaking Halys twice.

After Ruud broke early in the second set, he quickly relinquished the lead in the next game and each player held serve until the tiebreak. Ruud dominated the breaker, winning it 7-3. Ruud hits 10 aces in the victory. He landed 72% of first serves in play and won 78% of first serve points (32/41). He won 63% of second serve points (10/16) and was broken once in the whole match. This was his fifth win in a row, having captured the title in Stockholm this past week.

Stan Wawrinka is a wild card at his home tournament and caused a shock in the opening round when he defeated World No. 52 Miomir Kecmanovic in straight sets. That match took 20 games to decide. Wawrinka prevailed 6-1, 7-6. Remarkably, this was the same score in Ruud’s win over Halys.

Wawrinka hit 12 aces and 1 double fault in the dominant win. He landed 68% of first serves in play and won 75% of first serve points (30/40). Wawrinka won 63% of second serve points (12/19) and was broken once in the match. Wawrinka is out of the top 150 and this was only his 23rd win of the season at all levels. He is a two-time semifinalist in Basel, although the last time he made the quarterfinals was in 2022. Can he do it again this week?

Casper Ruud vs Stan Wawrinka Head-To-Head

Ruud and Wawrinka have met once on the ATP Tour. Remarkably, that meeting took place in Basel three seasons ago. Wawrinka defeated the Norwegian in straight sets en route to the quarterfinals.

Casper Ruud vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction

Could history repeat itself? The only time Wawrinka faced Ruud was in Basel in 2022, and the Swiss won the match before he went on to reach the quarterfinals. As fate would have it, their rematch would be in the same tournament and for a spot in the last eight. However, I believe this is where the outcome will differ. Ruud was almost unplayable in Stockholm and the Norwegian looked sharp as ever in his opening win this week. It’s hard to fade the in-form Ruud and he should cruise here.