ATP Madrid: Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction 4/28/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Lorenzo Musetti will take on Jiri Lehecka in the round of 16 of the 2026 Madrid Open. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, April 28. Here’s our Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka prediction. This preview will also include a Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka pick.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka Preview

Lorenzo Musetti beat World No. 33 Tallon Griekspoor in straight sets in the third round of the Madrid Open. The match took 22 games to decide. Musetti edged out the Dutchman in the first set 6-4. Despite relinquishing an early break, Musetti broke Griekspoor in the ninth game and served to 15 to win the set. The second set mirrored the first. Griekspoor went down a break but recovered to level. In the 11th game, Musetti broke again and served for the match 7-5 in the next game.

In the victory, Musetti hit 21 winners and 13 unforced errors. That included 5 aces and 2 double faults. Musetti landed 68% of first serves in play and won 78% of first serve points (32/41). Musetti won 47% of second serve points (9/19) and saved two of four break points in the match. Before this round, Musetti kicked off the tournament by beating Hubert Hurkacz 6-4, 7-6 in under two hours.

Jiri Lehecka, for his part, beat Alex Michelsen in straight sets to reach the last 16 of the Madrid Open for a second time. The match took 18 games to decide. Lehecka cruised past the American 6-4, 6-2 in an hour and 26 minutes. In the victory, Lehecka fired 20 winners and 23 unforced errors. That included 10 aces without accumulating a single double fault.

Lehecka landed 75% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (33/43). Lehecka won 57% of second serve points (8/14) and did not face a single break point on his serve. Lehecka won 43% of return points in the match. Before this round, Lehecka beat Alejandro Tabilo in three sets. The Czech’s bes result in Madrid was a semifinal finish in 2024.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka Head-To-Head

Musetti and Lehecka have played three times at the ATP level. Musetti leads the series 2-1. He beat Lehecka in their only clay court meeting at the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters in three sets.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction

I’m going with the overs here. It’s as tight as it can get to call this outright. Musetti is an absolute nightmare to face on a clay court, but Lehecka brings enough power to push him out of his comfort zone. I’m expecting momentum swings and long rallies, and at last one tight set. Musetti has the edge in creativity, flair, and variety, but Lehecka won’t fade easily, especially if he serves well. This could have a three-set written all over it.

Nur Said's Pick: Over 22.5 games in the match