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ATP Madrid: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Prediction 4/30/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Casper Ruud readies a serve to Carlos Alcaraz during their fourth-round match at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., Wednesday, March 11, 2026.

Casper Ruud readies a serve to Carlos Alcaraz during their fourth-round match at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., Wednesday, March 11, 2026.

Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

07:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Casper Ruud -333 / Alexander Blockx +240

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Defending champion Casper Ruud faces Next Gen star Alexander Blockx in the quarterfinal of the Madrid Open. The match is scheduled for Thursday, April 30. Here’s our Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx prediction. This preview will also include a Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx pick.

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Preview

Casper Ruud’s title defense is still on. The Norwegian survived a three-set dogfight against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the last 16. The match lasted three hours and featured three tiebreak sets. There were no breaks in the first two sets, but Tsitsipas went ahead in the final set when he broke Ruud and consolidated for a 4-2 lead. Ruud held for 4-5 after saving two match points to put the pressure on Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas failed to serve for the match, and it was all square at 5-all. Both men held to force another tiebreak. Despite Tsitsipas taking an early lead, Ruud finished with aplomb, reeling off six points in a row from 1-3 down.

Overall, Ruud hit 37 winners and 32 unforced errors. Ruud fired 8 aces and 2 double faults. He landed 70% of first serves in play and won 82% of first serve points (61/74). Ruud won 68% of second serve points (21/31) and saved four of five break points.

Alexander Blockx earned his best ATP win yet after knocking out World No. 20 Francisco Cerundolo in straight sets. The match took 21 games to decide. The first set featured 12 successful holds. Blockx saved three set points to force a tiebreak late on and then saved another set point in the breaker before prevailing 10-8. The young Belgian broke serve twice in the second set to wrap up a 7-6, 6-2 win.

In the victory, Blockx hit 15 winners and 23 unforced errors. That included 6 aces and 2 double faults. Blockx landed 60% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (38/47). He won 58% of second serve points (18/31) and saved all eight break points he faced in the match. This is his first quarterfinal at Masters level.

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Head-To-Head

Ruud and Blockx have never met before, so this will be their first career match.

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Prediction

Blockx is having a phenomenal breakout tournament in Madrid and he just scored the first Top 20 win of his young career. His serve has been colossal, and he will need to keep up a high first serve percentage to retain his interest here. It may seem like a stretch, but Blockx is coming in with serious confidence and swinging freely. Ruud can get passive and let opponents dictate and that is the last thing you want to offer an energetic and powerful player like Blockx.

Nur Said's Pick: Blockx set handicap +1.5

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