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ATP Barcelona: Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli Prediction 4/15/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Camilo Ugo Carabelli, of Argentina, returns to Kei Nishikori, of the Japan, during the Cincinnati Open at the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, Ohio, on Aug. 8, 2025.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli, of Argentina, returns to Kei Nishikori, of the Japan, during the Cincinnati Open at the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, Ohio, on Aug. 8, 2025.

Barcelona Open Prediction: Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli

10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Rafael Jodar -333 / Ugo Carabelli +320

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Rafael Jodar faces Ugo Carabelli in the second round of the Barcelona Open. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, April 15. Here’s our Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli prediction. This preview will also include a Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli pick.

Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli Preview

Rafael Jodar defeated countryman Jaume Munar on his debut at the Barcelona Open. Jodar beat Munar 6-1, 6-2 in an hour and 10 minutes to extend his win streak to six matches. In that run, he won his first ATP title in Marrakech on clay. In the victory over Munar, Jodar landed 48% of first serves in play but won 81% of first serve points (17/21). Jodar won 65% of second serve points (15/23) and did not face a break point in the match.

Jodar hit 27 winners and 23 unforced errors in total. He won 50% of return points behind first serve and 63% of return points behind the second serve. Jodar improves to 24-7 for the season is currently sitting at a career high World No. 55 in the rankings.

Ugo Carabelli is also taking part at the Barcelona Open for the first time. Ugo Carabelli is ranked 64th in the world rankings and is coming off a huge upset over World No. 14 Karen Khachanov. The match took 19 games to decide. Carabelli prevailed 6-3, 6-4 in an hour and 14 minutes.

In the victory, Ugo Carabelli hit 3 aces and did not account for a single double fault. He landed 67% of first serves in play and won 82% of first serve points (28/34). Ugo Carabelli won 71% of second serve points (12/17) and did not face a break point in the match. Ugo Carabelli improves to 13-9 for the season at all levels, having won 11 matches on clay this year.

Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli Head-To-Head

Jodar and Carabelli faced off for the first time at the 2026 Marrakech Open. Jodar won in straight sets en route to bagging his first ATP title.

Rafael Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli Prediction

This is their second meeting in as many weeks and I’d still lean toward Jodar to win this handsomely, just as he did in Marrakech earlier this month. Jodar is in the form of his life and he’s playing on home soil. Jodar to win this outright is probably the safest bet of the day at the Barcelona Open.

Nur Said's Pick: Rafael Jodar in straight sets

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