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Athens Prediction: Djokovic vs Musetti 11/8/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

Aug 29, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA;  Novak Djokovic (SRB) after beating Cameron Norrie (GBR) (not pictured) on day six of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Aug 29, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Novak Djokovic (SRB) after beating Cameron Norrie (GBR) (not pictured) on day six of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Athens Open Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti

10:15 AM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Novak Djokovic -200 / Lorenzo Musetti +178

(Get latest betting odds)

24-time Grand Slam champion Novak Djokovic will face World No. 9 Lorenzo Musetti in the Athens final on Saturday, November 8. Here’s our Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction. This preview will also include a Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti pick.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Novak Djokovic reached his 144th Tour level final with a straight sets win over Yannick Hanfmann in Athens. The match took 19 games to decide and Djokovic, who lost his serve for the first time this week, easily won 6-3, 6-4 in an hour and 20 minutes. 

In the victory, Djokovic hit 9 aces and did not account for any double faults. Djokovic landed 75% of first serves in play and won 74% of first serve points (28/38). He won 69% of second serve points (9/13) and was broken once in the match. Djokovic had beaten Alejandro Tabilo and Nuno Borges before this in straight sets. Djokovic is a 100-time champion at Tour level, the third most of any man.

Lorenzo Musetti, meanwhile, outlasted Sebastian Korda in an epic to make the Athens final. Musetti saved a match point with an ace deep in the third set and secured a vital break in the next game before he served for the match. Musetti prevailed 6-0, 5-7, 7-5 after two hours and 22 minutes.

Musetti tallied 9 aces and 3 double faults in the win. He landed 72% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (50/74). Musetti won 52% of second serve points (15/29) and saved three of five break points. Musetti advanced to his third final of the season. He lost to Alcaraz in Monte Carlo and squandered match points in Chengdu against Tabilo. 

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Head-To-Head

Djokovic leads Musetti 8-1 in head-to-head. The Serbian dropped just four games in their only meeting of 2025 at the Miami Open.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

As tempting as it is to back Musetti here, the Italian’s record in title matches is poor. His last title win was in 2022, the year he actually won his first on tour. He squandered two championship points in Chengdu a couple of months ago, where he was the favorite for the crown. To end his title drought, he’d have to do so against the greatest player ever and simultaneously clinch the last spot in Turin. Djokovic is going for his 101st title and on his 144th tour level final and I don’t expect the Serbian to take his foot off the pedal. Give me Djokovic in two sets.

Nur Said's Pick: Novak Djokovic in straight sets

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