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Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Miami Prediction 3/25/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Mar 23, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Aryna Sabalenka reacts after match point against Qinwen Zheng (CHN) (not pictured) on day 7 of the 2026 Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Mar 23, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Aryna Sabalenka reacts after match point against Qinwen Zheng (CHN) (not pictured) on day 7 of the 2026 Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Miami Open Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Aryna Sabalenka -1667 / Hailey Baptiste +700

(Get latest betting odds)

Aryna Sabalenka will face Hailey Baptiste for a spot in the semifinals of the 2026 Miami Open on Wednesday, March 26. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste prediction. This preview will also include an Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste pick.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Preview

Aryna Sabalenka beat Olympic gold medalist Qinwen Zheng in the last 16 to make her way into the quarterfinals of the Miami Open. The Indian Wells champions won the match in straight sets in an hour and 26 minutes to extend her winning streak to nine matches. The match took 19 games to decide, and Sabalenka cruised past Zheng 6-3, 6-4.

In the victory, Sabalenka hit 4 aces and 1 double fault. Sabalenka landed 69% of first serves in play and won 75% of first serve points (27/36). She won 50% of second serve points (8/16) and saved four of five break points. Before this round, Sabalenka had beaten Ann Li and Caty McNally without losing a set. She improves to 20-1 for the season, with the only loss coming to Elena Rybakina at the Australian Open.

Hailey Baptiste achieved a career first in Miami. She is through to her first WTA 1000 quarterfinal after defeating Jelena Ostapenko in the last round. Their match also took 19 games to decide and lasted an hour and 25 minutes. Baptiste won the first set 6-3 after breaking Ostapenko’s serve twice. The second set was tightly contested and it was Baptiste who gained the upper hand when she broke serve in the seventh game and consolidated that lead until she wrapped up victory.

In the victory, Baptiste hit 11 aces and 2 double faults. She landed 59% of first serves in play and won 68% of first serve points (28/41). Baptiste won 64% of second serve points (18/28) and saved nine of 10 break points in the match. Before this round, Baptiste had beaten each of Tatjana Maria, Liudmila Samsonova, and Elina Svitolina without dropping a set. The American improves to 11-7 for the season.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Head-To-Head

Sabalenka and Baptiste have never met at any level, so this will be their first meeting.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction

Looking at the list of accomplished names that Baptiste has beaten in the tournament, she’ll be riding that wave of momentum and confidence going into this quarterfinal against the World No. 1, and I don’t think she’ll be overwhelmed by the occasion despite this being her first WTA 1000 quarterfinal. That said, Sabalenka is well ahead of the chasing pack this season when it comes to consistency and aggressive ball striking. I can’t look past the Belarusian in this one.

Nur Said's Pick: Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets

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