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Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Miami Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Mar 12, 2026; Indian Wells, CA, USA;  Arthur Fils (FRA) hits a shot in his quarterfinal match against Alexander Zverev (GER) during the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Mar 12, 2026; Indian Wells, CA, USA; Arthur Fils (FRA) hits a shot in his quarterfinal match against Alexander Zverev (GER) during the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Miami Open Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arthur Fils -167 / Stefanos Tsitsipas +132

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Arthur Fils and Stefanos Tsitsipas clash in the third round of the 2026 Miami Open on Sunday, March 22. Here’s our Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction. This preview will also include an Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas pick.

Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Preview

Arthur Fils easily dispatched American wild card Darwin Blanch in the second round of the Miami Open, with the match taking 17 games to decide. Fils closed out a 6-2, 6-3 under minimal pressure in an hour and 6 minutes. Fils recorded 20 winners to just 15 unforced errors in the match. That included 4 aces and 2 double faults.

Fils landed 65% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (25/31). He won 76% of second serve points (13/17) and did not face a single break point on serve. Fils improves to 10-4 for the season following his return to the tour after a back injury. Last year, he reached the quarterfinals of the Miami Open.

Stefanos Tsitsipas is putting together a decent run of form this season, with the Greek recording back-to-back wins at the Miami Open for the first time since 2022. Tsitsipas earned a rare top 10 win by beating Australian World No. 6 Alex de Minaur in straight sets. The match took 22 games to decide. Tsitsipas prevailed 6-3, 7-6 in an hour and 27 minutes.

In the victory, Tsitsipas hit 20 winners and 15 unforced errors. That included 5 aces and 1 double fault. Tsitsipas landed 71% of first serves in play and won 98% of first serve points (39/40). Tsitsipas won 56% of second serve points (9/16) and saved two break points on his serve. Tsitsipas’ best result at the Miami Open was a quarterfinal finish in 2021.

Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Head-To-Head

Fils holds a 4-0 record against Tsitsipas. This will be their first meeting on outdoor hard courts.

Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

I have to go with Fils here. This clearly looks like a matchup problem for Tsitsipas, who is 4-0 against Fils. The Greek struggles against aggressive players who can expose his return positioning, and Tsitsipas’ backhand lacks sufficient power to counter the Frenchman’s weight of shot, so he ends up slicing and looping balls from defensive positions.

Nur Said's Pick: Arthur Fils in three sets

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