Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction 4/11/25 Monte Carlo Tennis Picks

ATP Monte Carlo Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti

Friday, April 11, 2025, TBD

Betting Odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas -175 / Lorenzo Musetti +140 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Tennis TV

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti meet in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters on Friday, April 11, 2025. Here's our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction. This preview will also include a Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti pick.

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas Preview

Stefanos Tsitspas earned a milestone win in the last 16 to reach yet another quarterfinal in Monte Carlo. He outplayed Nuno Borges of Portugal to record a resouding 6-1, 6-1 win, which was his 50th in a Masters 1000 on clay. What was even more impressive, 22 of those wins have been in Monte Carlo where Tsitsipas has lifted three titles there, second only to Rafael Nadal's record total of 11.

In the victory over Borges, Tsitsipas saved all five breakpoints he faced in the first set and preserved his 100% winning record against players outside the top 20 at the Principality. Tsitsipas had beaten Jordan Thompson in his first match in three sets nad has now reached at least the quarterfinals in this tournament each year since 2021. He has already bagged one title this year (Dubai).

 

Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Lorenzo Musetti defeated compatriot Matteo Berrettini in straight sets to reach his first Masters quarterfinal since 2023. Incidentally, his last quarterfinal at this level was also in Monte Carlo two years ago.

The match took 18 games to decide, with Musetti prevailing 6-3, 6-3, tallying only nine unforced errors in the match. It was a vintage performance by the 23-year-old who was stretched to three sets in each of his last two matches this week, against Yunchaokete Bu and Jiri Lehecka. 

Musetti improves his clay record this year to 4-0, having won one match in Latin America in Buenos Aires, where he withdrew before his quarterfinal match. The Italian will look to reach his first semifinal in Monte Carlo.

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Head-To-Head

• Tsitsipas and Musetti have met five times on the ATP level.

• Tsitsipas leads Musetti 5-0 in the head-to-head. 

• The Greek has triumphed in four clay meetings.

 

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction 

It took Tsitsipas quite a bit of time to get into rhythm this week, but he'll now be difficult to stop after delivering a near-perfect performance against Borges. The Greek shines on clay, particularly in Monte Carlo, where he has won the tournament three times already. He's not easily picked out from the baseline, and he has time and space to set up points and finish them at will. Musetti still possesses some silky smooth shots, but nothing truly out of the ordinary to trouble Tsitsipas in a best-of-three match. That head-to-head advantage also fills Tsitsipas with loads of optimism to progress into his fourth Monte Carlo semifinal.

Nur’s Pick Stefanos Tsitsipas in three sets

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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