Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils Prediction 4/11/25 Monte Carlo Tennis Picks

The Spanish second seed won 63% of second serve points (15/24) and saved nine of 10 breakpoints. Alcaraz won 52% of return points (27/52) and broke Altmaier five times in the match. Alcaraz improves to 17-4 for the season and has now reached the quarterfinals or better in five of the six tournaments he has played in 2025.

Arthur Fils Preview

Arthur Fils also advanced into his first quarterfinal in Monte Carlo, stunning seventh seed and former champion Andrey Rublev in straight sets. The match took 17 games to decide. Fils won 6-2, 6-3 in 63 minutes. In the victory, Fils hammered 18 winners and 17 unforced errors, including four aces and two double faults. Fils landed 62% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (21/26).

The Frenchman won 56% of second serve points (9/16) and faced one breakpoint (0/1). Fils tallied 53% of return points (28/53) and broke Rublev's serve five times. Fils is now 14-6 for the season. He's also accounted for wins over Tallon Griekspoor and Flavio Cobolli earlier in the week. This is his third successive quarterfinal on the ATP Tour.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils Head-To-Head

• Alcaraz and Fils have never met at any level. This will be their first meeting.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils Prediction

It's no secret when Fils is feeling himself, he can take over any match and set the pace. That's exactly what he's been doing all week against much-fancied favorites on this slow clay in Monte Carlo. But I still think his peak level is no match for the second-seeded Alcaraz. If we needed a reminder of Alcaraz's sublime qualities on the dirt, then he gave us a comprehensive demonstration in his straight-sets win over Altmaier, which featured some exciting points. That said, I'm expecting Alcaraz to turn Fils' obvious weapons (like his running forehand) into liabilities here. He'll demand an extra ball from Fils, and he'll outmaneuvre him. Give me Alcaraz in two.