Alex de Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction 4/10/25 Monte Carlo Tennis Picks

Daniil Medvedev Preview

Daniil Medvedev is the ninth seed in Monte Carlo and had to start his Monte Carlo campaign in the first round. He defeated countryman Karen Khachanov in three sets in an absolute slugfest. In the second round, Medvedev beat Rio runner-up Alexandre Muller 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 in almost three hours. In the victory, Medvedev compiled 28 winners and 47 unforced errors, including seven aces and eight double faults.

Medvedev landed 56% of first serves in play (58/103) and won 72% of first serve points (42/58). The Russian won 42% of second serve points (19/45) and saved two of six breakpoints on his serve. Medvedev tallied 44% of return points (54/122) and broke Muller five times. This was Medvedev's 14th win in 21 matches. He is looking to reach his third quarterfinal at the Principality. Medvedev's last ATP title was on clay in Rome, but that was two years ago.

Alex de Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev Head-To-Head

• De Minaur and Medvedev have met 10 times on Tour.

• Medvedev leads de Minaur 7-3. But the Australian won their only clay match at Roland Garros last season in four sets.

Alex de Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

I fancy de Minaur to progress. On hard court, it would probably be a different matchup, but clay makes Medvedev susceptible to regular swings in momentum, something that was keenly felt in his opening two matches in Monte Carlo. So, you could want to put the brakes on the Medvedev plus money here. I think De Minaur has the ability to frustrate him with his energy and quick playing style. Medvedev is not comfortable playing on this surface, and his point construction is average at best. He lacks the fluidity that we usually see with him on hard courts.